The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that Annual Inflation fell from 7.75% in October to 7.11% in November 2022. This was down from a peak of 9.06% in June 2022. Monthly inflation was negative (Disinflation) for November at -0.10%. This is fairly typical for the fourth quarter, which is traditionally negative. Monthly inflation for 2022 was lower than in November 2021 so Annual inflation fell. It is important to remember that although the inflation RATE is falling... prices are still going up, i.e., prices are still 7% higher than they were a year ago. A decline from 7.75% to 7.11% is similar to a car going from 77 mph to 71 mph... it is still speeding forward just not quite as … [Read more...]
May’s Annual Inflation Soars to ~5%
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up sharply to ~5% (actually 4.99%) CPI Index rose from 267.054 in April to 269.195 in May. Monthly Inflation for April was 0.82% and 0.80% in May. We have to go back to the Oil Peak of 2008 to see higher inflation. Next release July 13th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in May was 4.99% Since February, we have been predicting Annual Inflation would shoot up in March and April due to negative numbers falling out of the annual calculation. Although May 2020 was not negative it was virtually zero so replacing it with a massive 0.80% monthly inflation caused the Annual inflation rate to soar once more. Since the BLS rounds … [Read more...]
March Inflation Skyrockets
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up from 1.68% in February to 2.62% in March. CPI Index rose slightly from 263.014 in February to 264.877 in March. Monthly Inflation for February was 0.55% and March was 0.71%. Next release May 12th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in March was 2.62% We have been predicting Annual Inflation would shoot up in March due to higher gas prices and negative numbers falling out of the annual calculation. Further increases to come in April and May. Since the BLS rounds their numbers to 1 decimal place they reported February as 1.7% and March as 2.6% for a monthly increase of 9/10ths of 1% taking inflation well above the FED's 2% … [Read more...]
August Inflation Rises
Annual Inflation Increases to 1.31% Annual Inflation rose from 0.12% in May to 1.31% in August. CPI Index rose to 259.918 in August. Monthly Inflation for August was 0.32%, July was 0.51%, June was 0.55%, May was 0.002%, April was -0.67%, March was -0.22%, February was 0.27%. The FED holds pretty steady on Assets and FED Funds Rates. Next release October 13th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in August was 1.31%, up from July's 0.99%. Inflation is still moderate but may be picking up. The CPI index itself was up from 259.101 in July to 259.918 in August. Resulting in a monthly inflation rate of 0.32%. The Moore Inflation Predictor once again … [Read more...]
February Inflation Falls to 2.33%
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its February Inflation report on March 11th, 2020, for the 12 months through the end of February 2020. Annual Inflation Falls Annual inflation fell from the high set at 2.49% in January to 2.33% in February. CPI Index in February was 258.678 up from January's 257.971, December was 256.974, November was 257.208 down from October's 257.346 Monthly Inflation for January was 0.39%, while February was 0.27% down from 0.42% in February 2019. Next release April 10th Currently, the inflation rate is above the FED's target 2% rate. But the FED is concerned with a market meltdown due to falling Oil prices and the Coronavirus so … [Read more...]
August Inflation Down
On September 13th 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released their monthly Consumer Price Index report on the status of Inflation for the 12 months through the end of August. Annual Inflation is Down Annual inflation in August was 2.70% down from 2.95% in July and 2.87% in June. (BLS rounds both to 2.9%) CPI was 252.146 in August, 252.006 in July and 251.989 in June. Monthly Inflation for August was 0.06%, July was 0.01%, and June was 0.16% compared to 0.30% in August 2017. Next release October 11th Monthly Inflation: Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in August was 2.70%. 2.95% up from 2.87% in June. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) rounds … [Read more...]
Annual Inflation Up Slightly in June
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Annual Inflation Rate data for the year through the end of June on July 12th 2018. Annual Inflation is Up Annual inflation rate was 2.87% in June up from 2.80% in May, 2.46% in April, 2.36% in March and 2.21% in February. CPI-U was 251.989 in June, 251.588 in May, 247.867 in January and 246.524 in December. Monthly Inflation for June was 0.16% while May was 0.42%, April was 0.40%, up from 0.23% in March 2018. June 2017 was only 0.09% Next release August 10th Monthly Inflation: Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in June was 2.87% up slightly from May's 2.80% but up sharply from April's 2.46%. Current levels are … [Read more...]
April Inflation UP
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Annual Inflation Rate data for the year through the end of April on May 10th 2018. Annual Inflation is Up Annual inflation rate was 2.46% up from 2.36% in March and 2.21% in February. CPI was 250.546 in April, 249.554 in March, 248.991 in February, 247.867 in January and 246.524 in December. Monthly Inflation for April was 0.40%, up from 0.23% in March 2018 Next release June 12th Monthly Inflation: Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in April was 2.46% up from 2.36% in March. February was 2.21% and January was 2.07%. Early in 2017 inflation was 2.50% in January, 2.74% in February and 2.38% in … [Read more...]
Monthly Deflation, Annual Disinflation
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Annual Inflation Rate data for the year through the end of December on January 12th 2018. Annual inflation was 2.11% for the 12 months ending in December CPI-U down slightly from 246.669 to 246.524 Monthly Inflation for December -0.06% Next release February 14th Annual Inflation Chart Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in December 2017 was 2.11% down from 2.20% in November and slightly above the 2.04% in October. Early in 2017 inflation was above current levels at 2.50% in January, 2.74% in February, 2.38% in March, and then falling to 2.20% in April. The annual cyclical low was 0.84% in July 2016. The longer term … [Read more...]
Zero Monthly Inflation, Annual Inflation UP
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Annual Inflation Rate data for the year through the end of November on December 13th 2017. Annual inflation was 2.20% in November up from 2.04% in October CPI-U up slightly from 246.663 to 246.669 Monthly Inflation for November 0.002% Next release January 12th Monthly Inflation is Essentially Zero If the annual inflation rate is negative that is called "deflation" (i.e. prices have gone down since the previous year) but whenever the monthly inflation rate is negative that is called "disinflation" (i.e. prices have gone down since the previous month). That is what happened in October 2017. This month the CPI-U … [Read more...]
