The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its inflation report for June on July 14th. June Inflation Summary: The BLS reported Annual Inflation was down a seasonally adjusted -0.4% from May's 4.2% to June's 3.5%, this was the largest seasonally adjusted monthly decline since the COVID shutdown in April 2020. Prior to April 2020, the next comparable drop was December 2008, in the depths of the financial crisis, when collapsing oil prices dragged the seasonally-adjusted CPI-U down sharply. The BLS's April 2020 release referred to that drop as "the largest monthly decline since December 2008". Fortunately, the current decline is more of a normalization after a massive war-induced … [Read more...]
May 2026: BLS April Inflation
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its inflation report for April on May 12th. April Inflation Summary: The BLS reported Annual Inflation was up 0.5% from March's 3.3%, to 3.8% in April. When we look at it to 2 decimal places, we see it rose even more, i.e., from 3.26% to 3.81% (or 0.55%). The CPI Index rose from 330.213 to 333.020 Monthly Inflation for April 2026 was 0.85%, up from 0.31% in April 2025. Next release June 10th, 2026 Annual Inflation … [Read more...]
Massive March 2026 Inflation Spike
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its inflation report for March on April 10th. The BLS reported the annual inflation at 3.3% for March. But when we look at it to 2 decimal places, we 3.26%. CPI Index rose sharply from 326.785 to 330.213 Monthly Inflation for March 2026 was a massive 1.05%, up from 0.47% in February and 0.22% in March 2025. Next release May 12th, 2026 Annual Inflation … [Read more...]
Inflation Down In January 2026
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its inflation report for January 2026 on February 13th. Big News for our subscribers (at least we're excited about it): We are in the process of a massive update for the site. We've already updated the Cumulative Inflation Calculator and made the tables easier to navigate. They collapse, so it is easier to scroll past them and continue on with the article. They are also searchable, reversible, and just plain easier to read. We've consolidated some pages, so there is less jumping around, and we are adding a table of contents to the page so you don't need to scroll so much, just jump to the right section. We also got rid of a bunch of ads, so … [Read more...]
December Inflation Down Slightly, Not Flat
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its report for December on January 13th. December's inflation was down slightly when calculated to two decimal places despite the BLS reporting that November and December were both 2.7%. The December 2025 inflation report (released in January) shows that U.S. consumer prices continued to moderate at the end of the year, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) actually falling on a monthly basis. Key drivers included lower commodity prices, with gasoline down on an annual basis. However, services were still the biggest gainers. December Inflation Summary: The BLS reported Annual Inflation UNCHANGED at 2.7% but when we look at it to 2 decimal … [Read more...]
Delayed BLS September Inflation Data Released
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its delayed September 2025 Inflation report on October 24th, 2025. The report showed that annual inflation rose from 2.9% in August to 3.0% in September. Calculated to two digits, it was 2.92% in August and 3.01% in September. September’s Inflation Prediction: At 3.01%, September's inflation numbers came in very close to our "most likely" projection and almost identical to January 2025. September 2025 Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation rose from 2.92% to 3.01% CPI Index rose from 323.926 to 324.800 Monthly Inflation for September was 0.25% Next release November 13th, 2025 Note: We will only be publishing an … [Read more...]
August 2025 Inflation Report
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its August 2025 Inflation report on September 11th, 2025. The report showed that Annual Inflation was up at 2.9%. Calculated to two digits, it was 2.70% in July and 2.92% in August. The market is 90% certain that the FED will lower rates on September 17th despite rising inflation. August’s Inflation Prediction: At 2.92%, August's inflation numbers came at our “likely high”. Most economists had projected 2.9% as well. Go here to view our current MIP projection. … [Read more...]
July Inflation Report
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its July 2025 Inflation report on August 12th, 2025. The report showed that Annual Inflation was unchanged at 2.7%. Calculated to two digits, it was 2.67% in June and 2.70% in July. So, although the BLS says it was unchanged it was actually up VERY slightly. The market responded positively with the NYSE up 226.57 points. July’s Inflation Prediction: At 2.70%, July inflation numbers came in between last month’s “likely low” and “extreme low” projections, which is about as good as we could hope for. Go here to view our current MIP projection. … [Read more...]
June Inflation Up Again
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its June 2025 Inflation report on July 15th, 2025. The report showed that Annual Inflation was up from 2.4% in May to 2.7% in June. Calculated to two digits, it was really 2.35% in May and 2.67% in June. Economists were predicting higher inflation, of 2.6% while our MIP was projecting an "Extreme High" of 2.63%. The NYSE responded by falling about 1% on the day, on fears that this might postpone the FED's rate cuts even further. June's Inflation Prediction: At 2.67%, June's inflation numbers came in slightly above last month's "extreme high" projection. … [Read more...]
April Inflation Down Slightly
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its April 2025 Inflation report on May 13th, 2025. The report showed that Annual Inflation was down from 2.4% in March to to 2.3% in April. Calculated to two digits, it was 2.39% in March and 2.31% in April. Although this month's numbers look good, there is a distinct possibility that low inflation won't last. (See this month's MIP). April's Inflation Prediction: At 2.31%, April inflation numbers came in between last month's "likely low" and "extreme low" projections. … [Read more...]