Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up from 1.36% in December to 1.40% in January. CPI Index rose slightly from 260.474 in December to 261.582 in January. Monthly Inflation for December was 0.09%, January was 0.43%. Next release March 10th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in January was 1.40% The CPI index itself was up from 260.474 in December to 261.582 in January. Resulting in a monthly inflation rate of 0.43%. Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in December was 1.36%, the 12 months ending in January was 1.40%. Since the BLS rounds their numbers they report both as 1.4%. Setting the Stage for Inflation Due to the Corona Virus, March and April … [Read more...]
Price and Wage Changes since 2000
When we think about price changes we often think of them in terms of the changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U for all Urban Consumers). Looking at it that way, we may get the idea that price movements are monolithic i.e. that they all move together, so "prices" were up 2% or 5% or whatever, over the last 12 months. But that is a bit misleading since prices all move independently. For this reason, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes a CPI database with a breakdown of all the various components. By analyzing the various components of the CPI over the last 20 years we developed the following Chart. Click Chart for larger image As we can see … [Read more...]
Why Hasn’t the U.S. Dollar Experienced Hyperinflation?
I recently answered this question on Quora and thought I'd share the answer here as well. Why hasn't the U.S. dollar experienced hyperinflation? That is an excellent question. As we can see from the chart the FED has engaged in 4 major phases of Quantitative Easing (QE) where they drastically increased their “assets” and one phase of Quantitative Tightening (QT) where they tried to decrease their assets. FED assets is sort of a euphemism for money printing. Basically, it involves creating money out of thin air and then buying something. That “something” becomes an asset on the FED’s books. Prior to 2008, the primary thing the FED bought was U.S. Treasury debt i.e. Treasury Bills, Bonds, … [Read more...]
Using Risk to Combat Inflation
Inflation is a fact of life that everyone must deal with. Even when inflation is "low", it gradually takes its toll on your assets. The result of low inflation is that your purchasing power gradually erodes even though you might have the same amount of money. In order to combat this, you have to earn more or increase the rate of return on your investments. Often a simple savings account won't even pay enough interest to cover the losses due to creeping inflation. In that case, the only way to beat inflation is to take on additional risk to increase your rate of return. Taking on additional risk, however, means that you could suffer other types of losses. So, in order to properly manage … [Read more...]
December Inflation Up Slightly
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up from 1.17% in November to 1.36% in December. CPI Index rose slightly from 260.229 in November to 260.474 in December. Monthly Inflation for December was 0.09%, November was -0.06%. Next release February 10th BLS Commissioner's Inflation Report: According to the BLS commissioner's report, "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.2 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.4 percent before seasonal adjustment. The seasonally adjusted increase in the all … [Read more...]
Long Term Inflation Charts Updated
Average Inflation by Decade We've updated the long term inflation charts that appear around the site. These charts include Average Annual Inflation by decade i.e. what the average inflation rate was during the 1990s vs. the 1970s or the 2000s, etc. You can find these charts and more in-depth commentary in the following places: Average Annual Inflation Rates by Decade Total Inflation by Decade US Long Term Average Inflation Cumulative Inflation by Decade This is the amount of inflation experienced during … [Read more...]
November Inflation Virtually Flat
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation was virtually unchanged from 1.18% in October to 1.17% in November. CPI Index fell slightly from 260.388 in October to 260.229 in November. Monthly Inflation for November was -0.06%, October was 0.04%, September was 0.14%, August was 0.32%, July was 0.51%, June was 0.55%, May was 0.002%, April was -0.67%, March was -0.22%, February was 0.27%. Next release January 13th Annual Inflation Chart: Looking at the Annual Inflation Chart since 1989 we can see a marked downward trend. Current Inflation Situation Looking at just the most recent 10 years the trend is … [Read more...]
Annual Inflation in October is 1.18%
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation fell from 1.37% in September to 1.18% in October. CPI Index rose slightly from 260.280 in September to 260.388 in October. Monthly Inflation for September was 0.14% and only 0.04% in October. FED Funds Rates decrease slightly while FED Assets inch up. Next release December 10th Annual Inflation Chart: Looking at the Annual Inflation Chart since 1989 we can see a marked downward trend. Current Inflation Situation Looking at just the most recent 10 years the trend is … [Read more...]
A Better Understanding of How IRS Audits Work
As an American citizen, you’re always in fear of making a mathematical error when you're filing your taxes unless you’ve got a professional doing it for you. This feeling of fear can become a lot stronger when the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) sends you a piece of mail stating that you’re going to be audited. Luckily, knowing how an audit works and the steps you need to take during the audit can help you relieve some of that fear very quickly. The Different Types of Audits While there are quite a few types of audits that the IRS conducts, the most common three that you should expect are the correspondence audit, office audit, and line-by-line audit. Correspondence Audit: This audit … [Read more...]
September Inflation Virtually Unchanged
Annual Inflation Increased Very Slightly Annual Inflation rose from 1.31% in August to 1.37% in September. CPI Index rose from 259.918 in August to 260.280 in September. Monthly Inflation for August was 0.32%, for September it was 0.14. The FED holds steady on Assets and FED Funds Rates. Next release November 12th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in September was 1.37% The CPI index itself was up from 259.918 in August to 260.280. Resulting in a monthly inflation rate of 0.14%. Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in September was up almost imperceptibly from 1.31% to 1.37%. This is a rebound from an astonishingly … [Read more...]
