Adjusted Stock Price Financial advisors will often tell us of the steady increases available only through the stock market and present us with beautiful charts showing the relentless march of the the stockmarket ever higher and to the right. But what about inflation? How does the stock market perform when inflation is taken into consideration? After we take the loss of purchasing power into account have all the gains disappeared? When adjusting stock prices for inflation we typically use the US Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index CPI-U. Prices are then calculated in "real" dollars. That means that the price is adjusted so that we can see what it would have cost if prices … [Read more...]
Gasoline 20 Cents a Gallon?
Many of us aren't old enough to remember Gasoline at 20 cents a gallon. I can remember gas during the 1960's at 29.9 cents a gallon. The last time that gasoline averaged 20 cents a gallon was in 1942. That was during WWII ! But if you know us here at InflationData.com you probably know that we usually talk in inflation adjusted prices. So adjusting for inflation, the price of gas in 1942 would have been $2.78 if you are paying in January 2012 dollars. But that is still a long way away from the average price of Gas in 2011 of $3.48. We track the inflation adjusted price of gasoline based on the annual average price using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) generated by the U.S. Bureau of Labor … [Read more...]
How Does the Value of the U.S. Dollar Fit Into the Big Picture for the Economy?
Robert Prechter discusses his views on the credit crisis and the U.S. dollar More credit is denominated in U.S. dollars than any other currency. What does this mean for the value of the dollar as the credit crisis continues its strangle-hold on the world economies? Enjoy this video clip of Bob Prechter from an October interview with The Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell, in which Bob discusses the debt implosion and the value of the U.S. dollar. You can watch Prechter's full 45-minute interview here -- no sign up required! Watch the full 45-minute interview FREEGet even more valuable insights as Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell interviews Elliott Wave … [Read more...]
Is There a Correlation Between Inflation and the Stock Market
When inflation is high and commodity prices are rising on what seems like an almost daily basis, have you ever wondered how that might affect the price of stocks? Recently I received the following question: "In the years leading up to the great depression and the great recession, the DJIA nearly quadrupled. My question is... what the cost of living did in these time periods and if there is a correlation between the stock market and the cost of living? John Kelsch" ************ John, Great question! You would think that if all commodities are going up stocks would probably go up as well, since companies produce commodities. But that isn't always the case. Often high … [Read more...]
Fed To ‘Hold Off’ On QE 3
We noted extreme levels of optimism earlier today. What could possibly trigger a correction in stocks and commodities? If the Fed fails to signal and/or announce another round of quantitative easing (QE), it would undoubtedly leave the markets disappointed. The Fed uses the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) as a medium to communicate with the markets. It is possible someone at the Fed picked up the phone and said, “We need to temper short-term expectations for another round of QE. Can you help us out?” Friday’s WSJ has an article titled “Fed Holds Off For Now on Bond Buys”. Notice the word “may” is not included. Here is the first paragraph of the article: Federal Reserve officials are waiting … [Read more...]
How Global Financial Developments are Affecting the Price of Gold
Let’s face it. With the US economy facing the bitter consequences of extravagance and unscrupulous spending, it has become quite difficult for the US to manage both its public and private debts now. In this phase of post recession hangover and economic meltdown, the U.S. federal government has bumped up against its permitted borrowing limit. According to Alison Fraser, director of the Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies, America’s debt just crossed $15 trillion, which means presently, the amount owed by the United States government to the world, is equivalent to the amount produced by the American economy per year. All these factors lead to higher prices and intensifying inflation … [Read more...]
Another Way to Measure Inflation
In this article Jeff Clark shows us how to think about prices and purchasing power in a different way. The true measure of inflation is in relation to how much stuff your money can buy and in reality it is also related to the return you can get on your investment. If you can get 10% on your money a 5% inflation rate isn't so bad. But if you own any assets and they are only appreciating at 1% (or worse yet depreciating) and prices are increasing at a 5% rate the value of your assets are declining (i.e. they are being insidiously and secretly being stolen by the government printing presses). In this article Jeff will give you another way to look at the issue of prices and perhaps open your … [Read more...]
Adam Fergusson: “Inflating your economy means playing with fire”
GoldMoney founder James Turk interviews When Money Dies author Adam Fergusson, who discusses the parallels and differences between the Weimar inflation and the situation in the US and Europe today. "I don't see how any of these [Western] economies can grow their way out of the extraordinary debts that they have." … [Read more...]
How Does Inflation Affect You?
When people go the the grocery store and see ever higher prices they know how inflation affects them. But when they are feeling more philosophical they might reason that if all wages and prices increased at the same rate it would all balance out in the end right? Well theoretically yes but in reality it never works that way. Prices of various items all increase at different rates so some people are benefiting while others suffer. Those on fixed incomes suffer the most because the cost of things they are buying increases but their income stays the same. This is where COLA or "Cost Of Living Allowance" comes in it is an adjustment that is made to compensate for the increase in prices due … [Read more...]
Wanna Beat Inflation?
In a recent article entitled Is Gold really a good Inflation Hedge? I showed the history of Gold and how it really was a fear hedge rather than an inflation hedge. Interestingly, I just read an article entitled "Wanna Beat inflation? Forget Commodities!" by newsletter author Dan Ferris. It seems almost like heresy to hear that statement from Dan since he writes commodity and oil-based newsletters. But some of the statistics he presented were very interesting so I thought I would pass them along to you. … [Read more...]
