January 2017 saw a 0.6 percent hike in the Consumer Price Index, which pushed the annual inflation rate to 2.5 percent. This is the highest inflation rate in five years. The rate is higher than what many economists had anticipated. After several years of economists worrying that prices might fall, inflation has officially come back for the first time since the peak created by the massive second round of "Quantitative Easing" i.e. QE2 in 2011. QE 1 and QE 2 The first round of Quantitative Easing (QE1) resulted in an inflation rate of 2.72% in 2010 but as soon as the monetary spigot was turned off, the inflation rate fell, so the FED instituted QE2 which then resulted in an inflation rate … [Read more...]
Inflation Skyrockets to 2.5% In January
Annual Inflation is up from 2.07% in December to 2.5% in January. January itself racked up a whopping 0.58% monthly inflation rate. The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the newest inflation numbers on for January on February 15th 2017. Their Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) for all Urban Consumers was 242.839 up from 241.432 in December. Annual Inflation Chart Annual inflation is up from the annual cyclical low of 0.84% in July 2016, August was 1.06%, September rose to 1.46% and October was 1.64%. This is also up from the longer term cyclical low of -0.20% in April of 2015. Although this may look like the beginning of a longer upward trend it is still possible that it is simply a … [Read more...]
December Inflation Rate Finally Tops 2%
For quite some time, I've been saying, that "annual inflation throughout 2016 would remain well below the official FED target of 2% but we are getting closer and it is possible that December could tip the scale above 2%." And that is exactly what happened... annual inflation finished the year at 2.07%! The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the data for the month of December on January 18th. They also adjusted four months of data from May through August 2016 due to some faulty data relating to Prescription drug prices but it had no visible effect on the published inflation rates and was only visible if you extended the calculation out to 3 decimal places. Annual Inflation … [Read more...]
November Inflation Up Slightly
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the monthly and annual inflation rate data for November 2016 on December 15th. The next data release is scheduled for January 15th. The current annual inflation rate is 1.69% up from 1.64% in October. Monthly inflation was actually negative for November but "less negative" than in 2015 causing the Annual Inflation rate to rise. Inflation for the month of November 2016 was -0.16%, while November 2015 was -0.21%. The CPI index was 241.353 in November 2016 down from 241.729 in October. Current Annual Inflation Chart Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in November 2016 was 1.69% up from a cyclical low of 0.84% in July. August was … [Read more...]
Inflation Climbs Again in October
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the monthly and annual inflation rate data for October 2016 on November 17th. The current annual inflation rate is 1.64% up from 1.46% in September. Monthly inflation was 0.12% for the month of October 2016, while October 2015 was -0.14%. meaning that as the negative number fell out of the calculation and was replaced by a positive one, annual inflation jumped up. Historically, the 4th quarter, i.e. October, November and December have been negative inflation months i.e. disinflationary. So having positive inflation for the month of October is a bit unusual and could indicate a trend toward rising inflation or it could simply be the … [Read more...]
Investing in Gold
Throughout history, people have been attracted to gold. It is considered one of the most precious metals. In ancient times it was primarily used as jewelry or for fabricating religious items. Often gold was the only money so there was no such thing as "Investing in Gold" since holding gold coins was simply considered "saving". Today however, since our money is not based on anything but "the good faith and credit" of the government, investing in gold is not only possible but also advisable. But for all its history, there isn't really that much gold around. If you collected all the gold ever mined, from every corner of the Earth and put it into a single pile it would only fill a 5-story … [Read more...]
Inflation Up Almost 38% in September
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released their monthly inflation data on Tuesday, October 18th and revealed an almost 38% increase in Annual Inflation in September. The annual inflation rate was 1.06% in August and increased 37.7% to 1.46% in September as a result of the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) increasing from 240.854 to 241.428. For the year meat poultry and fish were down -6.3%, energy was down -2.9%, while Fuel Oil was down a whopping -8.5% and used cars and trucks were down -4.1%. However, Medical care services was up 4.8%, Transportation Services was up 3.0%, Shelter was up 3.4%, and Medical Care Services was up 5.1%. … [Read more...]
How International Inflation and Currency Fluctuations Affect Todays Businesses
With the current low levels of inflation in developed countries, most consumers and even small business owners are largely unaware and unconcerned with the issue of inflation and currency fluctuation. With most currencies more stable than ever in the 21st century, fears of wild inflation seem to be limited only to developing nations and the distant past. However, even small changes in a currencies value can have a ripple effect that causes massive changes in all businesses across the world. Oil the World Over The most readily apparent example of this is in the case of petroleum. For various historical and political reasons, all petroleum in the world today is traded on a dollar-per-barrel … [Read more...]
Annual Inflation Up Slightly in August
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their monthly inflation report for August on September 16th. According to the BLS Annual Inflation rose from 0.84% in July to 1.06% in August bringing inflation back in line with the levels in April through June. Inflation was 1.13% in April, 1.02% in May, and 1.01% in June. However, the rise was not due to high monthly inflation. Monthly inflation was only 0.09% for August 2016. Rather annual inflation rose because August 2015's -0.14% fell out of the equation. Interestingly, if last month's monthly inflation of -0.16% .was swapped with this month's 0.09% the Annual Inflation rate would have been much more stable. The rate would look … [Read more...]
Choosing the Right Investment: Gold vs. U.S. Dollar vs. Bitcoin
Rosland Capital recently produced an interesting infographic comparing the ten most important traits of an investment or more precisely of a store of value or currency. They offer physical gold and precious metals backed IRAs as a method to add stability to the mix. Including gold and other precious metals in your portfolio lowers your risk by diversifying from paper assets, thus hedging against the economy and inflation. The infographic compares Gold, the U.S. Dollar and Bitcoin showing how each ranks for these 10 characteristics on a scale of "High", "Moderate" or "Low". The ten important traits are: Scarcity- Being in short supply or rare. This is important because in order … [Read more...]
