According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI report released on September 13th, Annual Inflation increased from 3.2% in July to 3.7% in August. (but more precisely, it was from 3.18% to 3.67%.) Monthly inflation went from 0.19% in July to 0.44% in August. August 2023 Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation rose from 3.18% to 3.67% CPI Index rose from 305.691 to 307.026 Monthly Inflation for August was 0.44%, July was 0.19% and June was 0.32%. Next release October … [Read more...]
Inflation Is a Huge Wealth Redistribution Scheme
In today's article, Charles A. Smith explains how bankers and bureaucrats conspire to consistently rob the common person through inflation. We have become conditioned to believe that 2% inflation is the norm, and not only that, but it is even desirable and beneficial. Charles argues that, quite to the contrary, productivity improvements should create lower consumer prices, i.e., deflation. The reason that doesn't happen is because "Inflation makes bankers’ and bureaucrats’ lives easier and keeps them in power". ~Tim McMahon, editor. Inflation Is a Giant "Skim" on the American People The price of a McDonald’s hamburger in the United States has inflated 3.75 percent annually over the … [Read more...]
When Can We Expect Lower FED Rates?
Why Has The FED Been Raising Interest Rates? The Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates in March 2022 in an effort to combat inflation. As of the end of July 2023, the Fed's target rate limit is 5.5%, the highest level in 15 years. There are a few reasons why the Fed is raising interest rates so aggressively. First, inflation was at a 40-year high. In June 2022, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 9.06% year-over-year, the fastest pace since December 1981. This means that the cost of goods and services was rising rapidly, which was eroding the purchasing power of consumers and businesses. Second, the economy is still strong. The unemployment rate posted a 50-year … [Read more...]
July Annual Inflation- Up Slightly
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI report released on August 10th, Annual Inflation increased from 3% in June to 3.2% in July. (but more precisely, it was from 2.97% to 3.18%.) Monthly inflation was 0.25% for May 2023, 0.32% in June, and 0.19% in July. July 2023 Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation rose from 2.97% to 3.18% CPI Index rose from 305.109 to 305.691 Monthly Inflation for July was 0.19%, down from 0.32% in June Next release is September … [Read more...]
How Inflation Impacts Merchants
Just like the old joke, "How do you eat an elephant? ...one bite at a time", inflation is constantly "eating" away at your purchasing power. Some years your purchasing power might decline by 1%, and other years, it might decline by 5% or even 10%. As we can see from the chart above, back in 1980, purchasing power declined by an average of 13.55% over the whole year. But from April 1979 to April 1980, prices increased (and thus purchasing power declined) by a whopping 14.76%. And that was on top of 10.09% from April 1978 to April 1979. So, in just two years, from April 1978 to April 1980, prices increased significantly. How much? Well, due to compounding, you can't simply add 14.76% and … [Read more...]
June 2023- Inflation Falls to 3%
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI report released on June 13th, Annual Inflation declined from 4.0% in May to 3% in June. (but more precisely, it was from 4.05% to 2.97%.) Monthly inflation was 0.25% for May 2023, and 0.32% in June. June 2023 Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation fell from 4.05% to 2.97% CPI Index rose from 304.127 to 305.109 Monthly Inflation for June was 0.32% Next release August 10th 2023 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2022 7.48% 7.87% 8.54% 8.26% 8.58% 9.06% 8.52% 8.26% 8.20% 7.75% 7.11% 6.45% 2023 6.41% 6.04% 4.98% 4.93% 4.05% 2.97% What … [Read more...]
May Inflation Falls to 4%
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI report released on June 13th, Annual Inflation declined from 4.9% in April to 4.0% in May. (but according to our calculations, it was from 4.93% to 4.05%.) Monthly inflation was 0.25% for May 2023, compared to 1.10% in May 2022. May 2023 Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation fell from 4.93% to 4.05% CPI Index rose from 303.363 to 304.127 Monthly Inflation for April was 0.25% Next release July … [Read more...]
Default by Inflation
As long as I can remember, the "boogeyman" of government debt has always been default. This is not an insignificant concern. Over the years, governments HAVE defaulted on their sovereign debt. In the 1700s, corporate debt was seen as more likely to be repaid than government debt. As recently as a year ago, Russia was facing the prospect of default on Eurobonds maturing in 2023 and 2043. According to the following chart by Reuters, 34 governments have defaulted on at least some of their sovereign debt since 1989. The largest defaults were Congo in 2012 and Ukraine in 2015, but there was also Ecuador, Nicaragua, Argentina, Venezuela, Russia, and Pakistan, along with many others. But … [Read more...]
Annual Inflation Virtually Unchanged in April
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI report released on May 10th, Annual Inflation declined by 0.1%... but according to our calculations, it was even less than that. The BLS reported a decline from 5% to 4.9%, but when carried to two decimals, it was virtually a rounding error difference. Monthly inflation was 0.51% for April 2023, compared to 0.56% in April 2022. April 2023 Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation fell from 4.98% to 4.93% CPI Index rose from 301.836 to 303.363 Monthly Inflation for April was 0.51% Next release June … [Read more...]
Stock Market Ignores Lower Inflation in February
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that Annual Inflation fell from 6.41% in January to 6.04% in February Monthly inflation was 0.56% for February 2023, compared to 0.91% in 2022. Despite the significant drop in inflation the market was more concerned with bank failures so, there was no inflation rally. February Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation fell from 6.41% to 6.04% CPI Index rose from 299.170 to 300.840 Monthly Inflation for February was 0.56% Next release April … [Read more...]