The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released their Consumer Price Index News Release for the month of July on August 11th, 2021. Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation 5.37% virtually identical to June's 5.39% CPI Index rose from 271.696 in June to 273.003 in July. Monthly Inflation for June was 0.93% and July was 0.48%. Next release September 14th Inflation for the 12 months ending in July was 5.37% identical to August 2008, July 2008 was the previous Peak at 5.60% Last month's 5.39% was the largest increase since August 2008's 5.37%. (Since the BLS rounds to 1 decimal place they reported last month, this month, and August 2008 as 5.4%). If inflation tops the 5.6% of July … [Read more...]
May’s Annual Inflation Soars to ~5%
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up sharply to ~5% (actually 4.99%) CPI Index rose from 267.054 in April to 269.195 in May. Monthly Inflation for April was 0.82% and 0.80% in May. We have to go back to the Oil Peak of 2008 to see higher inflation. Next release July 13th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in May was 4.99% Since February, we have been predicting Annual Inflation would shoot up in March and April due to negative numbers falling out of the annual calculation. Although May 2020 was not negative it was virtually zero so replacing it with a massive 0.80% monthly inflation caused the Annual inflation rate to soar once more. Since the BLS rounds … [Read more...]
April Inflation More than Double FED Target
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up sharply from 2.62% in March to 4.16% in April. CPI Index rose massively from 264.877 in March to 267.054 in April. Monthly Inflation for March was 0.71% and for April was 0.82%. We have to go back to the Oil Peak of 2008 to see higher inflation. Next release June 10th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in April was 4.16% We have been predicting Annual Inflation would shoot up in March and April due to negative numbers falling out of the annual calculation. Since the BLS rounds their numbers to 1 decimal place they reported March as 2.6% and April as 4.2% taking inflation well above the FED's 2% target rate. Due to … [Read more...]
March Inflation Skyrockets
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up from 1.68% in February to 2.62% in March. CPI Index rose slightly from 263.014 in February to 264.877 in March. Monthly Inflation for February was 0.55% and March was 0.71%. Next release May 12th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in March was 2.62% We have been predicting Annual Inflation would shoot up in March due to higher gas prices and negative numbers falling out of the annual calculation. Further increases to come in April and May. Since the BLS rounds their numbers to 1 decimal place they reported February as 1.7% and March as 2.6% for a monthly increase of 9/10ths of 1% taking inflation well above the FED's 2% … [Read more...]
December Inflation Up Slightly
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation up from 1.17% in November to 1.36% in December. CPI Index rose slightly from 260.229 in November to 260.474 in December. Monthly Inflation for December was 0.09%, November was -0.06%. Next release February 10th BLS Commissioner's Inflation Report: According to the BLS commissioner's report, "The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.2 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.4 percent before seasonal adjustment. The seasonally adjusted increase in the all … [Read more...]
November Inflation Virtually Flat
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation was virtually unchanged from 1.18% in October to 1.17% in November. CPI Index fell slightly from 260.388 in October to 260.229 in November. Monthly Inflation for November was -0.06%, October was 0.04%, September was 0.14%, August was 0.32%, July was 0.51%, June was 0.55%, May was 0.002%, April was -0.67%, March was -0.22%, February was 0.27%. Next release January 13th Annual Inflation Chart: Looking at the Annual Inflation Chart since 1989 we can see a marked downward trend. Current Inflation Situation Looking at just the most recent 10 years the trend is … [Read more...]
Annual Inflation in October is 1.18%
Inflation Summary: Annual Inflation fell from 1.37% in September to 1.18% in October. CPI Index rose slightly from 260.280 in September to 260.388 in October. Monthly Inflation for September was 0.14% and only 0.04% in October. FED Funds Rates decrease slightly while FED Assets inch up. Next release December 10th Annual Inflation Chart: Looking at the Annual Inflation Chart since 1989 we can see a marked downward trend. Current Inflation Situation Looking at just the most recent 10 years the trend is … [Read more...]
August Inflation Rises
Annual Inflation Increases to 1.31% Annual Inflation rose from 0.12% in May to 1.31% in August. CPI Index rose to 259.918 in August. Monthly Inflation for August was 0.32%, July was 0.51%, June was 0.55%, May was 0.002%, April was -0.67%, March was -0.22%, February was 0.27%. The FED holds pretty steady on Assets and FED Funds Rates. Next release October 13th Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in August was 1.31%, up from July's 0.99%. Inflation is still moderate but may be picking up. The CPI index itself was up from 259.101 in July to 259.918 in August. Resulting in a monthly inflation rate of 0.32%. The Moore Inflation Predictor once again … [Read more...]
Inflation Quintuples… Still Below 1%
Annual Inflation Rebounds Annual Inflation rose to 0.65%. CPI Index rose from 256.394 in May to 257.797 in June. Monthly Inflation for June was 0.55%, May was 0.002%, April was -0.67%, March was -0.22%, February was 0.27%. The FED may be slowing its "Quantitative Easing" in an effort to prevent hyperinflation. FED Funds Rate up slightly but still remains near Zero. Next release August 12th The Bureau of Labor Statistics Released the Inflation Data for the 12 months ending in June on July 14th. Monthly Inflation SOARS to 0.55%. Annual inflation for the 12 months ending in June was 0.65%, May was 0.12%, April was 0.33%, March was 1.54% down sharply from February's … [Read more...]
May Inflation “Astonishingly Low”
The Bureau of Labor Statistics Released the Inflation Data for the 12 months ending in May on June 10th. Inflation is virtually ZERO at 0.12%. Annual Inflation Retreats Annual Inflation fell again to 0.12% in May from 0.33% in April. CPI Index rose marginally from 256.389 in April to 256.394 (virtually identical). Monthly Inflation for May was 0.002%, April was -0.67%, March was -0.22%, February was 0.27%... typically January through May are highly inflationary so this is VERY unusual. The FED continues to crank up the "printing presses" using "Quantitative Easing" in an effort to stimulate the economy in the wake of COVID-19. FED Funds Rate remains near Zero. Next … [Read more...]