I recently received the following question: In 1970 I purchased a nice house in the suburbs of Albany, New York for $54,500. Although the price of the home today is well above the inflation rate, I was wondering how the inflated dollars I'm spending on the last few payments has changed over the past 30 years. The mortgage payment has been consistent but I'm paying in inflated dollars, I just don't know how much the value of each dollar has declined in purchasing power. How would I calculate that figure?- John … [Read more...]
How the FED Prints Money
Printing Money: The process of "printing" money is always a kind of mystery to most people since only about 10% of the total money supply is actually in physical currency. Technically most of the money isn't printed so the term should be "money creation" or "money supply expansion" but "printing money" is used euphemistically to include all forms of expanding the money supply. The monetary base (or money supply) is typically controlled by adjusting monetary policy. This is usually done by the central bank (in the U.S. this is the Federal Reserve Bank or FED). The FED changes the monetary base through "open market transactions" (i.e., buying and selling of government bonds). The FED also … [Read more...]
Annual Inflation Since 1914
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has been tracking the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) since 1913. Thus they have been able to calculate the Inflation rate since 1914. And over that period we have seen some major periods of both inflation and deflation as you can see from the chart. The early years (the teens) were marked by high inflation. The early 1920's started with deflation and low inflation. The 1930's of course had the Great Depression and was primarily a period of deflation. World War II ushered in times of massive government spending and nationwide austerity as commodities were rationed and most of the production was directed toward the war effort. As the G.I.s returned and wanted to … [Read more...]
Inflation in the U.S. vs. Japan
The end of 2008 was a massive disinflationary period as the inflation rate fell from lofty heights until in January 2009 the inflation rate had fallen in both the U.S. and Japan to about zero. Deflation followed as the rate fell below the zero line through July. But then the two countries started diverging as the massive trillion dollar bailout began kicking in in the U.S. It kicked the U.S. inflation rate up to almost three percent before petering out. The inflation rate stayed negative (deflationary) in Japan however as prices continued to fall by 1% to 2% per year, which is probably where the U.S. would have been without the trillion dollar stimulus. Inflation in the U.S. currently … [Read more...]
OECD Annual Inflation Rate Steady at 1.6% in August 2010
It takes a bit longer to compile the inflation information for a variety of countries so we are just getting information for August from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) for their member countries. Consumer prices in the OECD area rose by 1.6% in the year to August 2010, the same inflation rate as in July. Growth in energy prices slowed to 4.8% in August compared with 6.2% in July, while consumer prices for food rose by 1.4% compared with 1.1% in July. Excluding food and energy, the annual inflation rate held steady at 1.2 % in the year to August 2010. To calculate the U.S. inflation rate between any two dates use our Inflation Calculator. … [Read more...]
Deflation or Inflation: Can Helicopter Ben Come to the Rescue?
Why the Fed Cannot Stop Deflation Countless people say that deflation is impossible because the Federal Reserve Bank can just print money to stave off deflation. If the Fed’s main jobs were simply establishing new checking accounts and grinding out banknotes, that’s what it might do. But in terms of volume, that has not been the Fed’s primary function, which for 89 years has been in fact to foster the expansion of credit. Printed fiat currency depends almost entirely upon the whims of the issuer, but credit is another matter entirely. What the Fed does is to set or influence certain very short-term interbank loan rates. It sets the discount rate, which is the Fed’s nominal near-term … [Read more...]
Hyperinflation in Weimar Germany vs. The U.S. Now
Postcards From Weimar Germany Justice Litle, Editorial Director, Taipan Publishing Group Monday, September 20, 2010 The Weimar Republic is perhaps the quintessential example of hyperinflation. But the buildup took longer than one might think. Walter Levy is a German-born oil consultant. His father, a German lawyer, took out a life insurance policy in 1903. Every month he had made the payments faithfully," recounts Levy. "It was a twenty-year policy, and when it came due, he cashed it in and bought a single loaf of bread. Such was life in the German Weimar Republic. Things got so bad there for a while, dentists and doctors stopped asking for currency, seeking … [Read more...]
Inflation and Housing Prices
Being "real tangible assets," houses tend to act as inflation hedges. But in recent times they have appreciated by multiples of the inflation rate. This is due more to loose lending practices that to loose monetary policy. In the following article David Galland addresses the current state of housing prices and where they might be headed. ~Tim McMahon, editor Should You Buy a House Now? By David Galland, Managing Editor, The Casey Report Recently, we have had a number of queries about real estate. And no wonder. For starters, real estate prices have come down. Plus, in an environment with next to zero interest rates, the idea of possibly picking up some income-producing property on the … [Read more...]
Deflation: First Step, Understand It
There is still time to prepare if deflation is indeed in our future. "Fed's Bullard Raises Specter of Japanese-Style Deflation," read a July 29 Washington Post headline. When the St. Louis Fed Chief speaks, people listen. Now that deflation -- something that EWI's president Robert Prechter has been warning about for several years -- is making mainstream news headlines, is it too late to prepare? It's not too late. There are still steps you can take if deflation is indeed in our future. The first step is to understand what it is. So we've put together a special, free, 60-page Club EWI resource, "The Guide to Understanding Deflation: Robert Prechter’s most important warnings about … [Read more...]
What is the Real Definition of Inflation?
By Tim McMahon Define Inflation: A simple way to define inflation is "an increase in the price you pay for goods" but that only tells part of the story... It could also be seen as a "decline in the purchasing power of your money". But there is more to inflation than that. There are two sides to inflation "Price Inflation" and "Monetary Inflation". Jump to: Inflation Definition | Inflation Cause | Inflation Risk | Inflation Rate | Inflation Hedge Price Inflation vs Monetary Inflation: Technically, Price Inflation is when prices get higher or it takes more money to buy the same item and this is what people commonly think of when they hear the word inflation. Monetary Inflation … [Read more...]
