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You are here: Home » Precious Metals » Gold

The Truth About Why Gold Is Surging

Published on May 30, 2025 by Tim McMahon Leave a Comment

Daily gold chart as of May 2025

For thousands of years, gold (and to a lesser extent silver) have been mediums of exchange and methods of preserving wealth over time. Throughout 2024 and 2025, gold prices have been surging, driven by a combination of central bank buying, shifts away from U.S. dollar dominance, and a fear of financial exclusion, i.e., “debanking”. Let's examine why gold is surging, the evolving narrative surrounding gold, Central Banks, and cryptocurrencies. Record-Breaking Price Momentum According to the World Gold Council, during the first quarter of 2025, the London PM price of gold averaged US$ $2,860 per ounce, representing a 38 percent annual increase and setting new quarterly records. On May … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: Bitcoin, BTC, central banks, Debanking, gold, Hedgemony

Gold Rallies on LOWER August Inflation?

Published on September 12, 2024 Updated on September 18, 2024 by Tim McMahon 3 Comments

Inflation Adj Gold Price Aug 2024

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its August Inflation report on Wednesday September 11th showing Annual Inflation was down from 2.9% in July to 2.5% in August. (But since we calculate it to two digits, it was actually 2.89% in July and 2.53% in August.) On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, monthly inflation in July was 0.12% and 0.08% in August. Gold Prices: Contrary to what you might expect the day after the release of the lower inflation numbers Gold rallied to $2554 by mid-afternoon. I've often said, Gold is a crisis hedge NOT an inflation hedge. This is primarily because there is no "counterparty risk" i.e., it is strictly an asset not simultaneously someone else's … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: gold, Inflation August 2024

Oil vs. Gold- Why Compare Commodity Prices Against Each Other?

Published on July 8, 2021 Updated on August 20, 2021 by Tim McMahon Leave a Comment

Oil vs Gold

When we think of inflation we generally think of "Price Inflation" i.e. how much the price of a good or service has increased in dollars. However, price inflation is not "monolithic" that is, they don't all increase at exactly the same rate. Some prices will increase faster or more than others. So it is often useful to compare the price of one commodity to another to see the relative increases of each. Over the years we have compared a variety of different commodities including Gasoline vs. Oil and Oil vs. Bitcoin.  We've even done a 3-way comparison of  Gold vs. Dollar vs. Bitcoin. But since gold is historical money it is useful to use it as the standard yardstick. So we have updated … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Energy, Gold Tagged With: commodities, gold, inflation, oil

Gold vs. Dollar vs. BitCoin Revisited

Published on August 19, 2020 Updated on March 31, 2021 by Tim McMahon 1 Comment

Bitcoin vs Gold

Back in 2016, we compared the properties of three types of currency, i.e. Gold, Dollars (Cash), and Bitcoin. Today we'd like to look at how each has fared since then. Back then, we said that there are 10 factors that make up a good store of value. They are: 1. Scarcity- For something to be considered valuable it can’t be too readily available. 2. Fungibility- Things have to be equal. Rare paintings aren’t fungible a Picasso isn’t exactly the same as a Monet. As a matter of fact, one Picasso isn’t even the same as another Picasso. Artwork isn’t fungible. One dollar bill is pretty much the same as another, one ounce of 24 karat gold is the same as another, one bitcoin is the same as … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: Bitcoin, dollar, gold, investing, Speculating

3 Factors Causing the Current Gold Rally

Published on July 28, 2020 Updated on September 12, 2024 by Tim McMahon Leave a Comment

Inflation Adjusted Gold Price Chart

A variety of factors affect the price of gold. Currently, many of them are combining to drive the price of gold to all-time record highs. Let's look at a few of the factors that affect the price of gold. 1) Uncertainty- Gold is a Crisis Hedge We have said this many times over the years but it bears repeating again gold is more of a crisis hedge than an inflation hedge. When uncertainty rears its ugly head... gold does well. That uncertainty can take many forms and one of them is "monetary uncertainty". So if people don't know what the value of their money is going to be in the future (i.e. inflation) they will shift some of their assets to gold (driving up the price of gold). So as far as … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: crisis, FED, gold, hedge, inflation, inflation adjusted, pandemic

5 Reasons to Invest In Gold

Published on March 21, 2020 by Tim McMahon 1 Comment

NYSE vs GLD

Gold has a long history that goes back to thousands of years. As we said here, "Gold came in common use in 3000 B.C. when Egyptians started making it into jewelry. It wasn’t until years later that gold began being used as a medium of exchange." It has cultural significance in most parts of the world. Throughout most of this time, gold was money. Paper or "fiat currency" did not exist until fairly recently. However, today the investment trends in gold have changed. Now, people invest in gold mostly for economic reasons. Investors all around the world buy it because they see gold as an inflation hedge. Here, in this blog, we'll discuss five important reasons to invest in gold right … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: crisis, gold, hedge, investing

Gold Price and Its Relationship with Inflation

Published on July 10, 2019 by Tim McMahon Leave a Comment

Gold Calculator

Inflation is the increase in the price you pay for goods and services, which affects the purchasing power of your money. This is more accurately called "price inflation" as compared to "monetary inflation".  As inflation increases, the value of your money decreases. There are many different causes of inflation, but the most important cause is an increase in a country’s money supply. When the government decides to print money or implement a quantitative easing program, the money supply is increased (i.e. monetary inflation), thus affecting the general level of prices. As we can see in the following chart, the Federal Reserve engaged in three phases of quantitative easing i.e. QE1, QE2, … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: FED, Federal Reserve, gold, inflation, interest rates, Policy

Gold as an Investment

Published on January 15, 2019 Updated on August 30, 2019 by Tim McMahon Leave a Comment

Gold Stock Correlation

The main idea behind investment is to grow and preserve wealth, and in many cases, find unique ways to generate more income. Popular wisdom has it that when interest rates rise gold prices fall because the opportunity cost of holding a non-interest bearing asset is growing. However, contrary to popular wisdom, recent interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve have coincided with a rising gold price. At the same time, investor confidence in the stock market is faltering due to the FED's actions. Thus many investors can be seen rushing to the financial security offered by safe-haven assets such as gold.   Rising Interest Rates Quantitative Tightening This is why gold … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: correlation, gold, inflation, stocks

How Does Inflation Affect the Price of Gold?

Published on April 27, 2018 by Tim McMahon 2 Comments

Gold bugs often fear inflation and believe that gold will generally increase in price when inflation is high. But the correlation is not as simple as when inflation increases the price of gold increases. If it were, the inflation adjusted price of gold would be virtually flat. And as we can see from the chart below the red line is far from flat. From 1913 through 1970 the "nominal price" of gold was fixed by the government and so it remained relatively stable but that didn't mean that the purchasing power of an ounce of gold remained stable.   From 1880-1914 the U.S. dollar official gold price was $20.67 per ounce. But inflation was rampant in the economy (i.e. over 90% inflation just … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: Gold Bug, Gold. Inflation, Investment, Protection

Investing in Gold

Published on October 28, 2016 Updated on June 2, 2021 by Tim McMahon Leave a Comment

Throughout history, people have been attracted to gold. It is considered one of the most precious metals. In ancient times it was primarily used as jewelry or for fabricating religious items. Often gold was the only money so there was no such thing as "Investing in Gold"  since holding gold coins was simply considered "saving". Today however, since our money is not based on anything but "the good faith and credit" of the government, investing in gold is not only possible but also advisable. But for all its history, there isn't really that much gold around. If you collected all the gold ever mined, from every corner of the Earth and put it into a single pile it would only fill a 5-story … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Gold Tagged With: Bars, coins, ETFs, gold, History, Rounds

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