When people go the the grocery store and see ever higher prices they know how inflation affects them. But when they are feeling more philosophical they might reason that if all wages and prices increased at the same rate it would all balance out in the end right? Well theoretically yes but in reality it never works that way. Prices of various items all increase at different rates so some people are benefiting while others suffer. Those on fixed incomes suffer the most because the cost of things they are buying increases but their income stays the same. This is where COLA or "Cost Of Living Allowance" comes in it is an adjustment that is made to compensate for the increase in prices due … [Read more...]
Wanna Beat Inflation?
In a recent article entitled Is Gold really a good Inflation Hedge? I showed the history of Gold and how it really was a fear hedge rather than an inflation hedge. Interestingly, I just read an article entitled "Wanna Beat inflation? Forget Commodities!" by newsletter author Dan Ferris. It seems almost like heresy to hear that statement from Dan since he writes commodity and oil-based newsletters. But some of the statistics he presented were very interesting so I thought I would pass them along to you. … [Read more...]
Real Mortgage Rates
What is the Real Mortgage Rate? At InflationData we are constantly talking about "real rates" typically by that we mean the inflation adjusted price. For instance we publish the inflation adjusted price of Oil, the inflation adjusted price of Gold, inflation adjusted stock prices and even the inflation adjusted cost of getting an education. But today when we are talking about Real Mortgage Rates we are not talking simply about the inflation adjusted price of a mortgage. To calculate the real cost of your mortgage you must also take the appreciation of your house into account. So for example if your mortgage rate is 5% but your house appreciates 5% your real mortgage rate is zero. The … [Read more...]
Is a Stock Market Crash Inflationary or Deflationary?
Recently a subscriber asked me the question above, he gave quite correct arguments about how the stock market is "a zero sum game" in other words for every buyer there is a seller, so overall everything should stay in balance. But as I'm sure you know there are at least 3 ways to measure money supply M1, M2 and M3. Each one includes increasingly broad definitions. From just cash equivalents up to including all sorts of time deposits and Government debts. But what they don't include is stock valuations, however if the price of your stocks increases you feel richer and are more likely to spend money from your other accounts because you know if you need the money you can always sell your … [Read more...]
Money Multiplier
What is the Money Multiplier? In a fractional reserve system like we have here in the United States, money is loaned out by banks and by law they are only required to have a fraction of the amount they loan out. For example, they might be required to keep 10% in reserves. In other words, they may have $10 million dollars in deposits but because not everyone will come in to claim their dollars at once the bank may loan out $9 million dollars. But the multiplication doesn't end there. The $9 million will be deposited at another bank and that bank can loan out 90% of that or $8.1 million. And that will be deposited in another bank, who can loan out another 90% and so on. In our article, How … [Read more...]
Velocity of Money
What is the velocity of money? Simply defined, the velocity of money is the turnover in the money supply. A shop owner can measure how fast his inventory is selling by calculating "inventory turnover." To do that, he simply calculates Total Sales ÷ Average Inventory for the period in question. See: Inventory TurnOver for more information. But if you expand the idea of turnover to the entire country, you get the "Velocity of Money". Strictly speaking all the velocity of money tells us is how long people hold onto their money. But from that we can infer their motives and perceptions of the economy in general... The Velocity of Money Calculation To Calculate the Velocity of Money, you … [Read more...]
Market Turbulence
Alan Greenspan was appointed Fed chairman by Ronald Reagan in August 1987, he was reappointed by Bush and Clinton, at successive four-year intervals until retiring after a record-setting tenure on January 31, 2006. During that time period he was one of the most powerful men in the world. The stock markets literally hung on his every word. People made it their full time job to try and decipher what cryptic meaning might be obtained from his press releases. At times his words boosted the market as he dealt with issues like the Black Monday stock market crash that occurred shortly after he first became chairman. At other times he tried to talk the market down and he referred to the … [Read more...]
Can You Really Get a Free Credit Report?
Anyone who has surfed the web long enough has probably seen offers for "Free Credit Reports" but when you go there you usually find that it is just a scam that requires you to register or buy something first. Well, I recently found the one true source of free credit reports and actually was able to verify it with the Federal Trade Commission! I strongly recommend that before you sign up for any free credit report that you check it with the FTC. (See the end of this article for a link to the FTC). -- editorIn the United States, there are three main credit reporting companies they are Equifax, Experian, and Trans Union. They are strictly monitored by the Federal Government and are required … [Read more...]
Free Resources
Free Resources for Investors. (Limit 1 Per Person) Learn to think for yourself Make your own decisions and be your own person. Change the way you invest forever. Download the information the FED doesn't want you to read. Discover the trade set-ups of a lifetime just waiting for you to snag them. Check it out … [Read more...]
May Inflation Surges to 3.2% in OECD Countries
The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has finished aggregating the May inflation data provided by its member countries and has released the results. Energy prices were up a whopping 14.2% for the 12 months ending in May while food prices were up by 3.9%. The overall average for all products in all the OECD countries was 3.2% in May. This was up from the 2.9% reported in April. The major components of this increase were mainly a sharp acceleration of inflation in Canada (to 3.7% in May, up from 3.3% in April) and the United States (to 3.6%, up from 3.2%) with high food and energy prices being the main drivers. The following chart breaks the components down by … [Read more...]
