The Social Security Administration (SSA) has announced that benefits will rise by 2.8% in 2026, based on the official measure of inflation, the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The annual Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) is meant to help retirees and other beneficiaries maintain purchasing power as prices rise, but the government’s calculation may be underestimating the true inflation felt by consumers. The COLA is determined by comparing the average CPI-W for the third quarter (July–September) of one year to the same period the year before. The difference in those averages sets the percentage increase in benefits. For 2026, the CPI-W figures were: … [Read more...]
September CPI Data Delay Causes Social Security COLA Concerns
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ September inflation data release was scheduled to occur on Wednesday, October 15th, 2025, but at this point it has been postponed until October 24th, due to the government shutdown. Despite the shutdown, the Labor Department is recalling some employees to finalize the inflation data. Much of the information was already collected before the government closed, meaning it can still be processed and published relatively quickly. September Inflation Data Holds the Key to 2026 Social Security COLA The Labor Department’s September inflation report is critical because it is used to calculate the 2026 Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA). So the … [Read more...]
Did the Democrats Really Vote Against the Social Security Cost of Living Increase?
There is a meme circulating around Facebook right now about Democrats voting against the 2.8% Cost of living increase. Normally, here at inflationData we try to avoid politics unless it directly relates to inflation, or our other major topics covered. But in this case I feel compelled to address this issue. The quick answer is that this is "NOT TRUE". However, if the MEME was phrased slightly differently it would be "TECHNICALLY TRUE". If the Meme said, "NONE of the Democrats voted FOR the Social Security Cost of Living Increase" it would be "TECHNICALLY TRUE". Likewise, if it said "NONE of the Republicans voted FOR the Social Security Cost of Living Increase" it would also … [Read more...]
How Does Inflation Affect You?
When people go the the grocery store and see ever higher prices they know how inflation affects them. But when they are feeling more philosophical they might reason that if all wages and prices increased at the same rate it would all balance out in the end right? Well theoretically yes but in reality it never works that way. Prices of various items all increase at different rates so some people are benefiting while others suffer. Those on fixed incomes suffer the most because the cost of things they are buying increases but their income stays the same. This is where COLA or "Cost Of Living Allowance" comes in it is an adjustment that is made to compensate for the increase in prices due … [Read more...]
Does the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Include Taxes?
Question: I have heard over the years that the CPI does not include taxes as one of its components. In other words, an increase or decrease in a tax rate is not considered a change in consumer prices/costs. Is this true? If so, how is this omission justified? Thank you, James Schmidt … [Read more...]
How to Calculate the Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment
How Does The Government Calculate the Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) on your retirement benefits like Social Security? I recently received the following question from Jerry: What formula does the government uses to figure out COLA based on inflation for retired people each year? That is a great question! Social Security benefits are indexed for inflation to protect beneficiaries from the loss of purchasing power due to inflation. The government uses a complex averaging system to take the average CPI index for the 3rd quarter of the previous year versus the average CPI index for the current year and calculate the inflation rate based on that. Cost of Living adjustments are … [Read more...]