The Hidden Costs of Precious-Metals Miners’ Optimism By Andrey Dashkov, Research Analyst The junior resource sector is struggling financially, something most investors seem to agree on – and rightly be wary of. Here at Casey Research, we've analyzed both producers and explorers to see how profitable (or value-adding) they may be under current market conditions. The rather obvious conclusion, shared by many company executives, is that now is the time to be frugal.> Producers have started to focus on cutting costs and pulling back from development projects that have diminished prospective returns or otherwise unacceptable risk profiles. Developers have sinned in their own way, … [Read more...]
Buying or Selling Gold and Silver?
Many investors consider the recent drop in gold, silver and platinum prices to be the perfect opportunity to build (or add to) their precious metals position. With the price down, the basic law of supply and demand has kicked in and demand for silver bullion and silver coins has risen sharply. Short-term, supply has gotten tight, as some dealers scramble to keep up with demand. We also saw a major disconnect between Physical Gold vs. Paper Gold as a massive sell order hit the futures market to sell 400 tons of gold! But at the same time small buyers rushed to their local dealer to take advantage of the price drop and stock up on the physical metal. And of course since gold and silver … [Read more...]
Gold Mining Stocks are Down – What’s Up?
For many years now I've been saying that Gold is a Crisis Hedge rather than an inflation hedge. But it is also a commodity and a monetary instrument. Thus there are a variety of factors affecting its price at any given time. Currently as the world economy continues rolling on people are less worried about catastrophe around the corner and they are beginning to believe that the FED is all powerful and can paper over any and all monetary problems with the stroke of a pen. So why worry? This has taken some of the edge off the urgency to buy gold. Plus as the stock market reaches new highs the "opportunity cost" of holding gold increases. So does this mean that gold is headed for the dustbin and … [Read more...]
The Impact of Inflation on Savings
The obvious impact of inflation on your savings is that the purchasing power is erroded. This means that if you stash $100 under the mattress today and inflation is 3% per year when you come back a year from now your $100 will buy 3% less stuff. Put another way you would need $103 to buy the same amount of goods a year later. When you extend this to 10 years you might think that it would mean that you would need $130 to buy the same amount of goods but because of the effects of compounding you would actually need $134.39. You can use the Retirement Planning Calculator to calculate the impact of inflation on your savings. As time goes on the impact of "only" 3% inflation compounds making … [Read more...]
What are “Foreign Exchange Reserves”?
Will the U.S. Dollar Be Replaced as the World's Reserve Currency? Foreign Exchange Reserves are foreign money held by International banks for use in international trade and in an effort to diversify their holdings and hedge against the inflation of their own currency. The most common items bought and sold with their foreign exchange reserves are oil and gold. Up until 1944 the asset of choice was gold and it was used as the medium of exchange between countries to settle their debts. But in July 1944, delegates from the 44 Allied nations gathered in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire., and made the U.S. dollar the reserve currency of the world. At that time, the dollar was pegged at $35 per ounce … [Read more...]
Why Gold is a Good Investment for Inflationary Times
The Impact of Inflation on Savings If you keep your money in the bank or in money market funds, inflation can eat away at their value. Inflation can be deceiving because your account balances won’t go down. However, when you take your money out to buy something, you might notice that you won’t be able to buy as much as you used to. Therefore, if you don’t put your money into something that keeps up with inflation, you’ll soon find your savings won't buy as much. As an investor, you need to be prepared for the risk of inflation. It happens when there is too much money chasing too few goods, so prices have to go up (because of an increase in the money supply). When the economy is facing … [Read more...]
Gold and the Federal Reserve
Gold-US Dollar Link by Chris Vermeulen The $1800 per ounce level continues to be a major technical resistance area for gold. After hovering near $1800 recently, gold moved sharply away from that level last week to close at $1735 an ounce. Despite that, more fund managers and analysts continue to point to a bright long-term future for gold prices. John Hathaway of the Tocqueville Gold Fund says gold will reach new highs within a year. He based his forecast, like many others, on the fact that negative real interest rates look likely to persist as Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve continue to print money. Believe it or not, some mainstream analysts are also touting gold’s … [Read more...]
Civil Liberties Rest Upon Sound Money
Sound Money = Freedom Over the years I have written many times about the necessity of sound money to base our economy on and the results of wanton reckless money creation that will alway result in inflation and a worthless currency either sooner or later. I've told you about how inflation affects you, and how the Money Supply affects Inflation and Who Inflation Hurts the Most. I also spoken at length about the value of gold as the Timeless Inflation Hedge and how Gold is Still Money. Today, Wendy McElroy, author of The Art of Being Free shares a deep and fascinating research on all the main issues we face: the loss of security in the name of security, the state's role in strangling … [Read more...]
Be Prepared If – Inflation Gets Out of Hand
By Jeff Clark, Casey Research The cheek of it! They raised the price of my favorite ice cream. Actually, they didn't increase the price; they reduced the container size. I can now only get three servings for the same amount of money that used to give me four, so I'm buying ice cream more often. Raising prices is one thing. I understand raw-ingredient price rises will be passed on. But underhandedly reducing the amount they give you… that's another thing entirely. It just doesn't feel… honest. You've noticed, I'm sure, how much gasoline is going up. Food costs too are edging up. My kids' college expenses, up. Car prices, insurance premiums, household items – a list … [Read more...]
How the Dollar Affects Gold Prices
Interview with Jim Puplava, by Jeff Clark, Casey Research Jim Puplava has robust convictions….The CEO of Financial Sense News Hour, Jim is a man you should listen to carefully if gold factors in your portfolio or if you are thinking about adding gold anytime soon. In this interview, Jim talks about how the dollar affects gold prices. He discusses whether we are moving into a phase of deflation or inflation and gives his views on what exactly that will mean to gold investors. He discusses the likely impact of inflationary or deflationary forces, which one he believes will win out, and the effect it will have on our economy. Finally, he makes a very interesting prediction. Of course, … [Read more...]
