Although this site is called Inflation Data for the last several years we have been talking a lot about the big "D"... deflation. Strictly speaking, the only true deflation (inflation rates below zero) occurred in 2009 and then very briefly in 2015. See Annual Inflation Rate Chart. But as the chart shows the overall trend since the peak in 1990 has been down with the occasional spike upward. Since the peak in September 2011 however, the trend has been sharply down (falling inflation rates = disinflation) until it bottomed in April 2015. Since then inflation has turned up and has crossed above its moving average. So does this mean that we are in for a bout of inflation? Possibly. … [Read more...]
Buying or Selling Gold and Silver?
Many investors consider the recent drop in gold, silver and platinum prices to be the perfect opportunity to build (or add to) their precious metals position. With the price down, the basic law of supply and demand has kicked in and demand for silver bullion and silver coins has risen sharply. Short-term, supply has gotten tight, as some dealers scramble to keep up with demand. We also saw a major disconnect between Physical Gold vs. Paper Gold as a massive sell order hit the futures market to sell 400 tons of gold! But at the same time small buyers rushed to their local dealer to take advantage of the price drop and stock up on the physical metal. And of course since gold and silver … [Read more...]
Investing In Silver
Investing In Silver can be extremely profitable when the common man decides he wants to invest in precious metals and thinks he can't afford gold. If a major spike in investment demand if it were to occur there wouldn't be enough silver to meet demand and prices would skyrocket. In today's post Jeff Clark looks at the case for investing in silver. ~Tim McMahon, editor. Hi Ho Silver: Making the Case for This Precious Metal By Jeff Clark, Senior Precious Metals Analyst Even though the newsletter I write for Casey Research is focused primarily on gold, our metals investments cover all the precious metals, and when warranted, some base-metals plays too. And with the markets in the state … [Read more...]
The Impact of Inflation on Savings
The obvious impact of inflation on your savings is that the purchasing power is erroded. This means that if you stash $100 under the mattress today and inflation is 3% per year when you come back a year from now your $100 will buy 3% less stuff. Put another way you would need $103 to buy the same amount of goods a year later. When you extend this to 10 years you might think that it would mean that you would need $130 to buy the same amount of goods but because of the effects of compounding you would actually need $134.39. You can use the Retirement Planning Calculator to calculate the impact of inflation on your savings. As time goes on the impact of "only" 3% inflation compounds making … [Read more...]
Be Prepared If – Inflation Gets Out of Hand
By Jeff Clark, Casey Research The cheek of it! They raised the price of my favorite ice cream. Actually, they didn't increase the price; they reduced the container size. I can now only get three servings for the same amount of money that used to give me four, so I'm buying ice cream more often. Raising prices is one thing. I understand raw-ingredient price rises will be passed on. But underhandedly reducing the amount they give you… that's another thing entirely. It just doesn't feel… honest. You've noticed, I'm sure, how much gasoline is going up. Food costs too are edging up. My kids' college expenses, up. Car prices, insurance premiums, household items – a list … [Read more...]
Gasoline 20 Cents a Gallon?
Many of us aren't old enough to remember Gasoline at 20 cents a gallon. I can remember gas during the 1960's at 29.9 cents a gallon. The last time that gasoline averaged 20 cents a gallon was in 1942. That was during WWII ! But if you know us here at InflationData.com you probably know that we usually talk in inflation adjusted prices. So adjusting for inflation, the price of gas in 1942 would have been $2.78 if you are paying in January 2012 dollars. But that is still a long way away from the average price of Gas in 2011 of $3.48. We track the inflation adjusted price of gasoline based on the annual average price using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) generated by the U.S. Bureau of Labor … [Read more...]
The Fed Resumes Printing
By Bud Conrad, Casey Research The Federal Reserve recently announced important policy changes after its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Here are the three most important takeaways, in its own words: The Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions – including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run – are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014. The Committee judges that inflation at the rate of 2 percent, as measured by the annual change in the price index for … [Read more...]
Inflation in the Real World
In the following article, Jake Weber from the Casey Report shows how commodity prices have increased an average of 48% over the last year even though "official" inflation statistics say we have only had a little over 1% inflation. What's going on? Typically this shows that inflation is on its way and will be here soon. Because commodities are leading indicators as they are thee raw materials used to produce the things we consume. ~Tim McMahon, editor By Jake Weber, Editor, The Casey Report As is often the case, there is a big difference between what the government statistics are reporting and what’s going on in the real world. According to the most recent inflation reading published … [Read more...]
What is the Economy Usually Doing When Gold Goes Up?
Traditionally when does Gold rise and when does it fall? What economic indicators predict gold prices? In this article Robert Prechter looks at the economy and Gold Prices. ~ editor By EWI President Robert Prechter ...If gold isn’t going up when the economy is contracting, when is it going up? Table 4 (see chart on p. 24 of this free Club EWI report ~ editor) answers the question: All the huge gains in gold have come while the economy was expanding. This is true of the three most dramatic gold gains of the past century: (1) Congress changed the official price of gold from $20.67 to $35 per ounce in 1934, during an economic expansion. The gain against the dollar was 69 … [Read more...]
Gold, Silver, Plus #3, for Profit & Protection
By Deepcaster Equities-in-general have gone nowhere for the past decade (and have lost 30% or more when their prices are adjusted for inflation), and are in a Bear Market, with no end realistically in sight. And most Bonds and CD’s provide miniscule or even negative returns after adjusting for Real Inflation. And even many Commodities have not been consistently appreciating lately. We have long been an advocate of Gold and Silver, "the ultimate monetary metals". We still consider thems our #1 and #2 selections as the best fortress assets for profit and protection. Indeed, Deepcaster has two open ‘Buy’ Recommendations on a particular form of these Metals. And, as regular readers know, … [Read more...]
