With the current low levels of inflation in developed countries, most consumers and even small business owners are largely unaware and unconcerned with the issue of inflation and currency fluctuation. With most currencies more stable than ever in the 21st century, fears of wild inflation seem to be limited only to developing nations and the distant past. However, even small changes in a currencies value can have a ripple effect that causes massive changes in all businesses across the world. Oil the World Over The most readily apparent example of this is in the case of petroleum. For various historical and political reasons, all petroleum in the world today is traded on a dollar-per-barrel … [Read more...]
Could a Strong Dollar Actually Cause Problems?
It seems that there is the possibility for danger no matter which way the economy goes. You would think that a strong dollar would be a good thing... after-all it allows us to buy things more cheaply on the global market. If our money goes further we are richer, oil is cheaper, imports cost less, etc. But the flip side is that our products are more expensive on the world market and so we export less. In today's article we look at the inherent risks of a strong dollar. ~Tim McMahon, editor. Outside the Box: How the Rising Dollar Could Trigger the Next Global Financial Crisis By John Mauldin This week’s Outside the Box continues with a theme that I and my colleague Worth Wray have been … [Read more...]
2 Types of Money
From the beginning, productivity improved with specialization. If one person can produce fruit more efficiently while the other was a better hunter, more wealth will be generated if the hunter hunts and the farmer farms. Forcing the farmer to hunt or the hunter to farm is just plain inefficient. But in order for the system to work there has to be a medium of exchange. Somehow the farmer has to be able to get the wild game in exchange for his crops. And what if the farmer wants meat but his crops aren't ripe yet? Well, that is how credit developed. In today's post Bill Bonner looks at mediums of exchange i.e. money and credit. He examines how they began and what they mean for us and our … [Read more...]
U.S. Foreign Exchange and The Chinese Currency Exchange Rate
U.S. Foreign Exchange The number of international corporations and financial professionals that follow the ever-changing ratio of U.S. dollars to Chinese Yuan has increased and expanded beyond its borders. This is an indication of just how critical the trade relationship that binds the world's two largest economies has become. Although the relationship between the United States, Canada and Mexico continues to be even more robust than the Sino-American arrangement, the consumer economy of the United States is heavily dependent upon smooth flows of goods from the workshops of China to the Pacific ports of California and Washington State. In many ways, the continued harmonious economic … [Read more...]
What Is Fiat Currency?
Fiat currency is a term that is used to describe a currency which is created by "fiat" or "arbitrary order or decree" of the government. It is not created by the free market or backed by anything like gold, silver or real estate. It is essentially an "IOU- nothing". A lot of people do not realize that every currency in the world today is considered to be a fiat currency. (Although the Chinese may be working on creating a gold backed currency and several OPEC countries have considered it as well). The US dollar, the euro, the Great Britain pound, the Japanese Yen, and the Australian dollar are all fiat currencies, to name a few. Since everyone uses this type of currency, why is it such a big … [Read more...]
Using Forex to Hedge against Inflation
Forex Hedge According to Wikipedia-A foreign exchange hedge (FOREX hedge) is typically used by companies to eliminate or hedge foreign exchange risk resulting from transactions in foreign currencies. In other words, if a company in based in one country most of its expenses are denominated in the currency of that country. So if a company is based in the U.S. most of its expenses are in dollars. But if it sells a significant portion of its products in another country like Mexico then a portion of its income will be in Pesos. If the Peso depreciates against the Dollar the value of their income could cause them to lose significantly even though they thought they were selling at a profit. This … [Read more...]
Why (and How) China is Boosting the Price of Gold
The History of Gold Prices (and How We Got Here) To get the full picture of the current price of gold we have to look back nearly 100 years. In the 1800's and early 1900's gold played a key role in international monetary transactions. The gold standard was used to back currencies. Each country determined a fixed exchange rates for its currency, i.e. how many ounces of gold each unit of currency was worth. Trade imbalances (importing more than they exported or vice versa) could rectified via the exchange of gold reserves. A country with a deficit would have to ship gold to the country with an excess. Any country experiencing inflation would lose gold and therefore would have a decrease in … [Read more...]
Is Gold Backwardation Now Permanent?
Its Weight in Gold: The Real Prices of Things By Keith Weiner, Casey Research Worldwide, an incredible tower of debt has been under construction since President Nixon's 1971 default on the gold obligations of the US government. His decree severed the redeemability of the dollar for gold and thus eliminated the extinguisher of debt. Debt has been growing exponentially everywhere since then. Debt is backed with debt, based on debt, dependent on debt and leveraged with yet more debt. For example, today it is possible to buy a bond (i.e., lend money) on margin (i.e., with borrowed money). The time is now fast approaching when all debt will be defaulted on. In our perverse monetary system, … [Read more...]
How Does the Value of the U.S. Dollar Fit Into the Big Picture for the Economy?
Robert Prechter discusses his views on the credit crisis and the U.S. dollar More credit is denominated in U.S. dollars than any other currency. What does this mean for the value of the dollar as the credit crisis continues its strangle-hold on the world economies? Enjoy this video clip of Bob Prechter from an October interview with The Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell, in which Bob discusses the debt implosion and the value of the U.S. dollar. You can watch Prechter's full 45-minute interview here -- no sign up required! Watch the full 45-minute interview FREEGet even more valuable insights as Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell interviews Elliott Wave … [Read more...]
Rick Rule: “Bet against the dollar as a store of value”
In this excerpt from the Casey Summit When Money Dies, seasoned resource investor/broker Rick Rule discusses risk management and explains why the greatest risk you face as an investor is located to the left of your right ear and to the right of your left ear. Listen to Rick's complete summit speech – plus those of nearly 30 other renowned financial experts – from the comfort of your home. More than 20 hours of audio recordings on CD or MP3, including the experts’ top stock picks. Learn more. … [Read more...]