Central bankers don't like surprises, so they tend to communicate among themselves in order to coordinate their response to every new crisis. And this week there was a wave of responses to the combination banking crisis and still high inflation. The Cause Raising interest rates from near zero to over 4.5% in a short period of time puts stress on banks' liquidity as it causes an "inverted yield curve", i.e., short-term interest rates are higher than the locked-in long-term rates. Thus banks are paying out more (on short-term deposits) than they are receiving (on long-term mortgages). The Effect So you would think the Central Bankers would be prepared to deal with the … [Read more...]
Don’t Blame Putin for High U.S. Inflation… Yet
With Annual Inflation reaching 40-year highs in February, the current administration is frantically searching for a scapegoat... any scapegoat no matter how absurd... to deflect responsibility for the current high inflation rate. First, inflation was "transitory"... then when it was obvious it wasn't... it was supply chain disruptions, and when that narrative fell apart, along comes Putin... Well, inflation was a problem long before Putin invaded Ukraine. So although the "Putin Effect" might result in HIGHER inflation soon, it hasn't been the cause of inflation in the February 2022 inflation numbers. In today's article, Ryan McMaken looks at this issue. ~Tim McMahon, editor Price Inflation … [Read more...]
