When Inflation heats up it can ravage your cash holdings and so of course that is why a portion of your portfolio needs to be in inflation hedges. But a side effect of inflationary forces is the added volatility it adds to markets. Navigating this added volatility involves having flexibility in your portfolio and flexibility comes from cash or cash equivalents. Unfortunately, cash equivalents are big losers during periods of high inflation. So what do you do? Fortunately, there is a solution that will provide liquidity and prevent the major part of the purchasing power erosion due to inflation. Plus provide good returns in the mean time. In today's report the author of "Keep What You … [Read more...]
Where is the Global Economy Headed?
Roy Furr, Contributing Author To be forewarned is to be forearmed. I'm writing today after spending the last three days in Boca Raton, Florida, attending The Next Few Years: A Casey Research Summit. If you're not already familiar, the purpose of this summit was to bring together many of the world's top economic and investing minds to share with us where they believe we're headed in the months and years ahead. The cast of speakers was impressive, to say the least. They brought a variety of view points, an almost overwhelming amount of data and analysis, and a perspective on what the current world means for investors that would be hard to build on. Yet, with all this variety of … [Read more...]
Hyperinflation and Double-Dip Recession Ahead
An interview with Karen Roche of The Gold Report Economic recovery? What economic recovery? Contrary to popular media reports, government economic reporting specialist and ShadowStats Editor John Williams reads between the government-economic-data lines. "The U.S. is really in the worst condition of any major economy or country in the world," he says. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, John concludes the nation is in the midst of a multiple-dip recession and headed for hyperinflation. The Gold Report: Standard & Poor's (S&P) has given a warning to the U.S. government that it may downgrade its rating by 2013 if nothing is done to address the debt and deficit. … [Read more...]
Why $5,000 Gold May Be Too Low
Jeff Clark, BIG GOLD You already know the basic reasons for owning gold – currency protection, inflation hedge, store of value, calamity insurance – many of which are becoming clichés even in mainstream articles. Throw in the supply and demand imbalance, and you’ve got the basic arguments for why one should hold gold for the foreseeable future. All of these factors remain very bullish, in spite of gold’s 450% rise over the past 10 years. No, it’s not too late to buy, especially if you don’t own a meaningful amount; and yes, I’m convinced the price is headed much higher, regardless of the corrections we’ll inevitably see. Each of the aforementioned catalysts will force gold’s price … [Read more...]
Escaping the Great Depression – and Extending the Greater Depression
By Doug Casey, The Casey Report Here at Casey Research, our view of the Great Depression of the 1930s is a little different from that of most people. In our eyes, Franklin Roosevelt wasn’t a hero, he was a villain. Nearly everything he did served to extend and deepen the economic downturn. With the exception of supporting the 21st Amendment for the repeal of Prohibition, Roosevelt’s involvement in the economy was an unmitigated disaster. But in popular memory, that failure is obscured by U.S. success in WW2, over which Roosevelt presided. Today, unfortunately, Obama and his minions are taking Roosevelt as a model and are straining to repeat his mistakes. Because the distortions in … [Read more...]
US Economic Situation “Intractable”
Over the last few years we've often mentioned the situation that the government has gotten itself into and wondered how it was ever going to be able to get itself out. The speculation has been that a period of hyperinflation might be the only option. In today's article David Galland editor of the Casey report discusses the economic bind the government is in and just what options it has. ~Tim McMahon, editor By David Galland, The Casey Report In describing the current situation in these United States, and in many of the world’s other superpowers, we here at Casey Research have often used the word “intractable”… as in, “impossible to resolve.” While that may not be technically … [Read more...]
The “Recovery” in Consumer Loans Isn’t Real
By Bud Conrad, The Casey Report The amount of loans being provided by our banking system is a good reflector of the strength of our economy. Below is a big-picture view that shows the total loans in the U.S. as the Fed reports in its H.8 each week. We can see that loans outstanding declined at a rapid rate at the beginning of the current great recession, but there seems to be a recovery in the little jump at the end of the chart, as highlighted by the two small black arrows. A little closer look shows that the Consumer Loans segment is the source of the optimism that we see in the total. … [Read more...]
The Long Swim – How the Fed Could Become Insolvent
By Terry Coxon, Editor, The Casey ReportYou’ve seen the proof in real time. Once-dominant industrial companies, e.g., General Motors, can run out of money. The biggest banks, e.g., Bank of America, can run out of money. Even sovereign governments, e.g., Greece, can run out of money. Yes, all those organizations are still limping along, but only after being rescued by other giant institutions, such as the U.S. government, the less unhealthy European governments, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund. So far, it’s been easy to get rescued. The people who run giant institutions seem to shudder at the thought of other giant institutions being shown up as anything less … [Read more...]
Japan in Debt — Are They the Next Bailout?
Everybody has heard about the European countries that are in severe debt but have you heard about Japan? They are in real trouble and it will be interesting to see how this one plays out. -- editor Collection Call By David Galland, Managing Director, The Casey Report Hello, is this Japan I’m speaking to? Yes. (tentative). May I ask who’s calling? It’s the ACME collection agency. We’re calling today because of your outstanding obligations. Is there a problem? We’re hoping not, but your creditors are beginning to worry you won’t be able to keep up with your debt service. Oh. Why the sudden concern? It was an item in a recent RMB Currency Trader. And I quote: The Land … [Read more...]
Bernanke Is Making the Crisis Worse
By Bud Conrad, Chief Economist, Casey Research The Fed is a corrupt and powerful institution, and Chairman Bernanke is making the global crisis worse. His new speech given last week in Europe was terribly misguided and will upset markets as the Chinese and Germans won't ignore his challenges. Bernanke’s interpretations of the markets have been wrong since before he was appointed to head the Fed, and his actions are doing nothing but aggravating the situation. In this seminal speech, titled “Rebalancing the Global Recovery,” Bernanke not only defended QE II as the right policy, but also attacked the monetary policy of China, the biggest holder of U.S. debt, an action that must be … [Read more...]