Deflation By Joshua Burnett If you’re anything like me, one of the problems you run into when trying to convince someone that the hyperinflation scenario will occur is an argument that revolves around us currently being in a deflationary period. People (and those involved with the economy and stock market especially) have a hard time seeing looming hyperinflation (that might occur as soon as a year and a half away) when what they’re currently seeing is… deflation. But wait a second; how in the wide world of sports are we seeing deflation when we’ve been printing money like our lives depend on it? Let’s return to market fundamentals, and the ever-present difference between macro and … [Read more...]
Zimbabwe Hyperinflation and the U.S. Dollar
The (Zimbabwean) Dollar - The Point of No Return By John Lee, CFA Last week, Zimbabwe slashed 12 zeros from its currency as hyperinflation continued to erode its value, the country's central bank announced in late January. The government instituted price cuts to arrest inflation. As time went by, it became apparent the forced price cuts cause bare shelves in shops and many businesses to close. "Even in the face of current economic and political challenges confronting the economy, the Zimbabwe dollar ought to and must remain the nation's currency, so as to safeguard our national identity and sovereignty... Our national currency is a fundamental economic pillar of our sovereignty," … [Read more...]
Three Myths of Deflation and Recession
This article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world’s foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter’s FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook, part of Prechter’s NEW Deflation Survival Guide. The following article was adapted from Robert Prechter’s NEW Deflation Survival eBook, a free 60-page compilation of Prechter’s most important teachings and warnings about deflation. By Robert Prechter, CMT Myth 1: “War Will Bail Out the Economy” … [Read more...]
Deflation or Hyperinflation?
By Tim McMahon, Editor The monthly inflation rate dropped like a rock for the second month in a row. Journalists touted last month's drop as "the largest monthly drop on a seasonally adjusted basis since 1947 when the Bureau of Labor Statistics first started tracking seasonal adjustments". What are they going to say this month when it is almost twice as large? Largest drop since last month? This is real live deflation on a monthly basis (although not on an annual basis... yet). Basically, deflation is falling prices (or more accurately a decrease in the money supply that results in falling prices) while disinflation is a slowing of the rate of increase in prices. Are we in a … [Read more...]
Take action in a Deflationary Environment
Editor’s Note: In the following article Robert Prechter shows you how to prepare for a deflation. By Robert Prechter, CMT The ultimate effect of deflation is to reduce the supply of money and credit. Your goal is to make sure that it doesn’t reduce the supply of your money and credit. The ultimate effect of depression is financial ruin. Your goal is to make sure that it doesn’t ruin you. Many investment advisors speak as if making money by investing is easy. It’s not. What’s easy is losing money, which is exactly what most investors do. They might make money for a while, but they lose eventually. Just keeping what you have over a lifetime of investing can be an achievement. That’s … [Read more...]
Is the United States Bankrupt?
"This is a job for the printing press." Hyperinflation here we come By Jon Herring There are so many headwinds and cross currents in the market today, it is all but impossible to predict what will happen in the short term. There is too much volatility and noise. So, it pays to keep your eyes on the horizon, focused on the long term and the biggest trends. Today, I want to tell about the biggest of all possible financial trends: the eventual bankruptcy of the United States government. Or should I say the existing bankruptcy of the U.S. government? The United States government is facing an impending fiscal crisis. Former Comptroller General David Walker calls it a “cancer … [Read more...]
Bailout Equals HyperInflation?
Editor's Note- In this article Olivier Garret, CEO of The Casey Report shows us the massive extent of the bailout compared to every major Government expenditure from the Revolutionary War and the Louisiana Purchase to the Iraq War in inflation adjusted terms and the results are pretty scary. Based on the magnitude of the bailout expenditures it appears Hyperinflation is already baked into the cake. You thought WWII and Iraq were expensive? You "ain't seen nothin' yet. The current bailout is larger than all the major government expenditures since the revolutionary war combined.And lest you think that is because the bailout is comparing inflated dollars against more valuable (and thus smaller … [Read more...]
Inflation Moderate? Who Does The Fed Think They Are Fooling?
By Charles Delvalle Just when you thought reality was setting in at the Fed, you get reminded how silly that idea really is. I say that because lately the Fed has been talking about how bad inflation is, and how they need to be ‘vigilant’ so that inflation expectations don’t deteriorate. If you talk to anyone on the street, I bet they have noticed that prices are higher for just about everything. I don’t know about you, but I sure think that inflation expectations are already pretty bad. So, you would think they’d be really hawkish about inflation at the meeting. Maybe that’ll happen at another meeting, because it sure didn’t happen at the one on Wednesday. … [Read more...]
Zimbabwean Hyperinflation Officially Estimated At 2.2 Million Percent
This is a textbook case of how to create hyperinflation by thinking you can print all the money you want. It is interesting to note that Mugabe blames Britain for trying to undermine his regime when in fact while under British control, Zimbabwe was Africa's second richest country (behind South Africa). But under Mugabe's reign Zimbabwe has become a basket case due primarily to misguided economic policy. Several years ago Mugabe nationalized the large farms and took control from productive farmers and gave control to his cronies (who knew nothing about farming) and then he wondered why farm production fell. Duh? Now inflation is increasing so fast his central statistical office can't keep … [Read more...]
Cumulative Inflation by Decade
How Much Inflation have we had since 1913? Just like compound interest compound inflation grows faster and faster. The average annual inflation since 1913 is "only" 3.42%. But as you can see from the chart to the right compounding something for almost 100 years at 3.42% will result in over 2000% inflation. A 2071% increase is a hard concept to grasp so to put it another way, something that cost $1.00 in 1913 would cost $21.71 today ($1 + $20.71 inflation). Or conversely a dollar today is only worth 4.8¢ in 1913 dollars. In other words the government over the years has stolen 95.2¢ out of every dollar. … [Read more...]
