Inflation Adjusted Prices What is the inflation adjusted price of common commodities? Historical Oil Prices Chart - This Chart compares Monthly Average Oil Prices with their Inflation Adjusted Oil Price. Historical Crude Oil Prices (Table) - The first table shows Annual Average Crude Oil Prices from 1946 to the present. Prices are adjusted for Inflation using the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) as presented by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Inflation Adjusted Electricity Prices - Residential electricity prices in the U.S. have risen from an average of 7.83 cents per kilowatthour in 1990 to an average of 11.44 cents per kwh in 2010. This is a 46% increase in 20 years and sounds like a … [Read more...]
How the Dollar Affects Gold Prices
Interview with Jim Puplava, by Jeff Clark, Casey Research Jim Puplava has robust convictions….The CEO of Financial Sense News Hour, Jim is a man you should listen to carefully if gold factors in your portfolio or if you are thinking about adding gold anytime soon. In this interview, Jim talks about how the dollar affects gold prices. He discusses whether we are moving into a phase of deflation or inflation and gives his views on what exactly that will mean to gold investors. He discusses the likely impact of inflationary or deflationary forces, which one he believes will win out, and the effect it will have on our economy. Finally, he makes a very interesting prediction. Of course, … [Read more...]
In the United States, The Belt-tightening Has Just Begun
The Day of American Austerity: What Will It Look Like? In the United States, the belt-tightening has just begun Since the start of the European sovereign debt debacle, the word "austerity" has been bandied about a lot. It wasn't an everyday word, and may send some people to the dictionary. Merriam-Webster defines "austerity" this way: enforced or extreme economy. But even knowing this definition might leave one wondering how "austerity measures" relate to Europe's debt crisis. The Associated Press (5/13) provided this overview: Austerity has been the main prescription across Europe for dealing with the continent's nearly 3-year-old debt crisis, brought on by too much government … [Read more...]
Why is the US Federal Government Afraid of Deflation?
Deflation: Harry Dent "Understanding Demographics Is Vital to Success" In this segment from one of his talks at the Casey Research Recovery Reality Check Summit, economics expert and author Harry Dent explains how shifting demographic trends lead to economic cycles and why the current US federal government is so afraid of deflation. https://youtu.be/d3EZlY-29Ss Harry's complete presentation – as well as the speeches of 30 other economic and investment luminaries from this Summit – is available to you in MP3 or CD format. Listen to experts like David Stockman, Harry Dent, Lacy Hunt, James Rickards, John Hathaway, Chuck Butler – their assessment of what investors should expect and … [Read more...]
How to Speculate your Way to Success
Everybody Forced to Speculate? According to an interview with Doug Casey, "Everybody is going to be almost forced to be a speculator to try to stay in the same place. Speculating means capitalizing on politically caused distortions in the marketplace." ~editorHow to Speculate your Way to Success Source: JT Long of The Gold Report (4/20/12) So far, 2012 has been a banner year for the stock market, which recently closed the books on its best first quarter in 14 years. But Casey Research Chairman Doug Casey insists that time is running out on the ticking time bombs. Next week when Casey Research's spring summit gets underway, Casey will open the first general session addressing the … [Read more...]
What All Major Depressions Have in Common
Signs of deflation are visible but the public will be fooled Deflation requires a precondition: a major societal buildup in the extension of credit (and its flip side, the assumption of debt). -- Conquer the Crash, 2nd edition (p. 88)Has the United States met that precondition? Well, consider that total credit market debt as a percent of U.S. gross domestic product was 280 percent in 1929 at the start of the Great Depression 380 percent in 2008 The current build-up of credit goes far beyond major -- it's unprecedented. It's been rising steadily for 60 years. The slope literally looks like the side of a steep mountain. Bank credit and Elliott wave expert Hamilton Bolton … [Read more...]
How Does the Value of the U.S. Dollar Fit Into the Big Picture for the Economy?
Robert Prechter discusses his views on the credit crisis and the U.S. dollar More credit is denominated in U.S. dollars than any other currency. What does this mean for the value of the dollar as the credit crisis continues its strangle-hold on the world economies? Enjoy this video clip of Bob Prechter from an October interview with The Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell, in which Bob discusses the debt implosion and the value of the U.S. dollar. You can watch Prechter's full 45-minute interview here -- no sign up required! Watch the full 45-minute interview FREEGet even more valuable insights as Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell interviews Elliott Wave … [Read more...]
Markets Fear Deflation
The best way to know the future is to survey millions of people and analyze their responses. That is exactly what the market does every day. And even better Mr. Market knows not only what people say they believe but where they are putting their money as well. In the following article Chris Ciovacco, the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management shows us how the markets view the current possibility of deflation. Chris has an amazingly simple chart that shows us exactly what the market is thinking right now. That chart is the ratio of Treasuries to Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Currently the ratio is indicating a deflationary bias in the market. When you think … [Read more...]
It’s All the Same Market in a Deflationary Environment
On September 22, the Dow and S&P opened down over 2.5%. Oil was down, copper was down, and even GOLD was down sharply. Watch this video excerpt from Robert Prechter's special video issue of the August Elliott Wave Theorist where he explains what is causing diverse markets such as these to move together in today's environment. Free Report: Stocks -- Buying Opportunity or Another "Free Fall" Ahead?Find out what these market moves mean to your investments with current analysis from Elliott Wave International. Bob Prechter has just released a FREE report -- with urgent analysis from his August and September 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist market letters, including another video … [Read more...]
Is a Stock Market Crash Inflationary or Deflationary?
Recently a subscriber asked me the question above, he gave quite correct arguments about how the stock market is "a zero sum game" in other words for every buyer there is a seller, so overall everything should stay in balance. But as I'm sure you know there are at least 3 ways to measure money supply M1, M2 and M3. Each one includes increasingly broad definitions. From just cash equivalents up to including all sorts of time deposits and Government debts. But what they don't include is stock valuations, however if the price of your stocks increases you feel richer and are more likely to spend money from your other accounts because you know if you need the money you can always sell your … [Read more...]
