In today's editorial, David Banister takes a look at Gold and where it could be going. He provides an excellent possible scenario that matches with my views and experience exactly. He is projecting a rally to the $1500 range with a pull back from there and a major take-off for the final wave to the blow-off top from there. This is exactly what we would expect based on Elliottwave patterns. Tim McMahon- editor How long and how high for Gold, and how to play it David Banister-www.MarketTrendForecast.com Regular readers of my articles on Gold over the past few years know that I have a theory on this Gold Bull market. In summary, it’s that we are in a 13 Fibonacci year uptrend that … [Read more...]
Casey Gold Summit Offers Investment Nuggets
Source: Diane Fraser of The Gold Report 10/13/2010 Carlsbad is several hundred miles south of Sutter's Mill, but the experts and investors who gathered for Casey Research's recent Gold Summit were just as enthusiastic about the precious metal as the prospectors who headed into the hills back in 1849. The Gold Report took the opportunity to speak with some of the many experts on hand. For three days, the leading experts in the resource investment sector gathered with investors to discuss the investment strategies. Doug Casey, Richard Russell, Ross Beaty, Eric Sprott, Ian McAvity, Rick Rule, Robert Prechter and Bob Quartermain all gave their varied impressions on the market and their … [Read more...]
What is the Economy Usually Doing When Gold Goes Up?
Traditionally when does Gold rise and when does it fall? What economic indicators predict gold prices? In this article Robert Prechter looks at the economy and Gold Prices. ~ editor By EWI President Robert Prechter ...If gold isn’t going up when the economy is contracting, when is it going up? Table 4 (see chart on p. 24 of this free Club EWI report ~ editor) answers the question: All the huge gains in gold have come while the economy was expanding. This is true of the three most dramatic gold gains of the past century: (1) Congress changed the official price of gold from $20.67 to $35 per ounce in 1934, during an economic expansion. The gain against the dollar was 69 … [Read more...]
Uncle Scam
by David Galland, Partner, Casey ResearchThe latest data on global gold trends, Q2 2010, just popped into my email box from the World Gold Council. The bad news is that the higher nominal price of gold has caused a 5% decrease in jewelry sales over the prior year. If you’re thinking “Hey, that’s not that bad!”, you’d be right. On this date last year, gold closed at $950… which is $286 below where it trades as I write. In other words, a 30% rise in price has resulted in a decrease of just 5% in jewelry sales. And even that number is skewed, because the currency value of the gold purchased is up – way up. For example, India – the 800-pound gorilla in the global gold jewelry market – … [Read more...]
Gold – The Optimal Investment for Inflation and Deflation
History shows that gold is an excellent performer in both inflationary and deflationary economic scenarios. Author: Ronald Stoeferle Posted: Thursday , 24 Jun 2010 VIENNA (Erste Bank) - The central question of whether the next few years will be dominated by inflation or deflation still remains unanswered. In periods of inflation, tangible assets are the preferred asset class, whereas in times of deflation, cash is king. Gold is liquid, divisible, indestructible, and can be easily transported. It has a worldwide market and there is no default risk associated with it, which means it is cash of the highest quality. Therefore gold is the optimal investment both in deflation and … [Read more...]
Paying Taxes on Gold
Give unto Caesar - What to Pay When You're Selling By: Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report Proper planning with your finances is incomplete until you consider the endgame consequences of your investment decisions today. So, what are the tax consequences of selling gold, gold ETFs, and gold stocks? There’s lots of conflicting and inaccurate tax information on the Internet about this. We know of one site that claims the sale of silver Eagles is exempt from capital gains tax due to some obscure law (not true). So, let’s nail down the current tax rules for selling gold in the U.S. [The following information pertains to U.S. taxpayers only and is not … [Read more...]
Colombia: A New Gold Rush?
by Andrey Dashkov, Casey’s International Speculator For many investors, Colombia remains a grey spot on their mental maps of South America. La Violencia, the 50-year dark age in its recent past, came to an end with the close of the 20th century. But the memories are fresh, and the impact on the local economy and international perceptions of the country lingers. This reputation still prevents most foreigners from investigating Colombia’s potential – and that spells opportunity. For those curious and courageous enough to see Colombia as a new frontier, early speculations are starting to yield big rewards. The country has abundant natural resources, including gold, silver, copper, coal, … [Read more...]
Gold Investing
Gold Is Going Nowhere…But Up By Joshua Burnett My father-in-law recently sent me an article from the Money section of CNN under the title: “Beware The 4 New Asset Bubbles,” written by Shawn Tully, senior editor at large at Fortune. Mr. Tully contends that there are four new balloons in the economy: Treasuries, Oil, Gold, and Stocks. My father-in-law was primarily concerned with gold so let’s look at that. The “Historic Average” of Gold Mr. Tully makes several claims concerning gold. His first indirect statement address all four items: “They’ve already seen huge run-ups that put their prices far above their historic averages, and far above the levels justified by fundamentals.” Au … [Read more...]
Stock Market vs. Gold
Editor's Note: Often people are skeptical about the Government's Inflation numbers and I frequently get questions like "Are they fudging the data?" And to some extent they might be. Since Gold is the original money and it is freely converted to cash, it is still a reasonable scale to gauge other prices against. If gold was a true inflation indicator, the gold price in dollars would progress steadily upward with very few downward periods and the inflation adjusted price of gold would be constant. Although this is not the case, never-the-less gold is a good scale to use for comparison purposes. So the following article on Gold vs. the Dow Jones Industrial Average is a good place to … [Read more...]
Gold… the Timeless Inflation Hedge
In the article Is Gold really a good Inflation Hedge? I said, Gold is actually a "crisis hedge." But here Jeff Clark tells us how gold can also be a store of wealth and a long term inflation hedge.~Tim McMahon, editor What Do You Have in Common with King Nebuchadnezzar? By Jeff Clark, Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report “There’s no reason to invest in gold,” said the finance editor of a major newspaper interviewing me. “If gold goes up because of inflation, then so does everything else, so why buy it? It’s not really a good investment.” She was serious. Yes, she is a finance writer. And yes, it’s a newspaper you’ve heard of. I was so dumbfounded that I must have sounded … [Read more...]
