This Chart presents Monthly Average Oil Prices.
For more information see
Annual Average Oil
Prices in
Table Form .
The above chart shows oil prices adjusted for inflation
in June 2009 dollars. As you can see current prices
in real (inflation adjusted) terms fell from July 2006
until January 2007 but then rose sharply from January 2007 through
June 2008.
From there we see one of the sharpest drops in
history. Note that the fall from the 1979 peak took until 1986
(7 years) to fall as much (percentage wise) as it lost in only six months
in 2009. So we see a fall from $124 in June 08 to $33 in January 09
but by June 09 it is back to $61.
During the previous peak
price back in 1979 the nominal monthly
average oil price peaked at $38 per barrel (although the intraday prices spiked much
higher).
The common price quoted is for the all time high of Oil prices is the price
that the highest barrel ever sold for. That price doesn't really have any effect
on the price consumers paid. What really matters is the average price the refineries had
to pay for the whole month.
Interestingly, the highest monthly
average occurred in December 1979 while the highest annual high
occurred in 1980. Which means prices spiked higher in late
1979 and then dropped slightly but overall remained at higher levels
throughout 1980 than they were in 1979.
Adjusted for inflation in June 2009 dollars
the 1979 $38 peak oil price is the equivalent of paying $106.86 today. (Note: This number is constantly changing as we adjust for
inflation at the current moment.)
In the 2008 run-up, the annual average price for all of
2008 was 99.65 and will conceivably be much lower in 2009. So on an
annual average basis, prices were very close to 1979 but slightly
below but on a monthly inflation adjusted basis 2008 prices exceeded
1979 prices but for a shorter duration.
Note: The prices we use are for Illinois Crude which will be
similar but not exactly the same as the NY Crude spot price.
Also note that during the 1970's Oil prices were subject to price
controls except for "stripper" wells. These price controls resulted
in shortages and lines at the gas station in addition to some
shootings and even deaths due to people "cutting in the gas line".
We use the free market stripper prices which more accurately
indicate what prices would have been without the artificial price
controls.
For more information see:
Annual Oil Prices in
Table Form.
Tim McMahon is the editor of Financial Trend Forecaster in addition
to the editor of
InflationData.com "The Place in Cyberspace for inflation
data" and the editor of Your Family Finances. He has also
written a book on
Geographic Tongue and other tongue problems call
Healthy
Tongue Secrets.