This Chart presents Monthly Average Oil Prices.
For more information see
Annual Average Oil
Prices in
Table Form .
The above chart shows oil prices adjusted for
inflation in June 2010 dollars. As you can see current prices
in real (inflation adjusted) terms fell from July 2006
until January 2007 but then rose sharply from January 2007 through
June 2008.
From there we see one of the sharpest drops in
history. Note that the fall from the 1979 peak took until 1986
(7 years) to fall as much (percentage wise) as it lost in only six
months in 2009. So in inflation adjusted terms, we see a fall from
$125.83 in June 2008 to $34.14 in January 09 but by June 09 it is
back to $62.11.
During the previous peak
price back in 1979 the nominal monthly
average oil price peaked at $38 per barrel (although the intraday prices spiked much
higher).
The common price quoted is for the all time high of Oil prices is the price
that the highest barrel ever sold for. That price doesn't really have any effect
on the price consumers paid. What really matters is the average price the refineries had
to pay for the whole month.
Interestingly, the highest monthly average
occurred in December 1979 while the highest annual high occurred in
1980. Which means prices spiked higher in late 1979 and then
declined slightly but overall remained at higher levels
throughout 1980 than they were in 1979.
Adjusted for inflation in June 2010 dollars
the 1979 $38 peak oil price is the equivalent of paying $107.99 today. (Note: This number is constantly changing as we adjust for
inflation at the current moment.)
In the 2008 run-up, the annual average price for all of
2008 was nominally 91.48 and fell much lower in 2009 to an average
of $53.48. So on an
annual average basis, prices were very close to 1979 but slightly
below but on a monthly inflation adjusted basis 2008 prices exceeded
1979 prices but for a shorter duration.
Note: The prices we use are for Illinois Crude which will be
similar but not exactly the same as the NY Crude spot price.
Also note that during the 1970's Oil prices were subject to price
controls except for "stripper" wells which were
exempt. These price controls resulted
in shortages and lines at the gas station in addition to some
shootings and even deaths due to people "cutting in the gas line".
We use the free market stripper prices which more accurately
indicate what prices would have been without the artificial price
controls.
For more information see:
Annual Oil Prices in
Table Form.
See also our price comparison of Oil vs. Gold.
At
$1000 is Gold Expensive?
Tim McMahon is the editor of Financial Trend Forecaster in addition
to the editor of
InflationData.com "The Place in Cyberspace for inflation
data" and the editor of Your Family Finances. He has also
written a book on
Geographic Tongue and other tongue problems call
Healthy
Tongue Secrets.